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Top stories

UK Poised to Abandon Apple iCloud Backdoor Demand Under US Pressure

US Foreign Policy

UK Poised to Abandon Apple iCloud Backdoor Demand Under US Pressure

Authors

19

12 days ago

Prediction markets for sharing

Will TSLA drop below $200 a share in 2025?

Feb 21, 9:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

26.3%chance

25283188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1674

597

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

29.57%chance

1953878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16624

6806

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.93%chance

208398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17074

8778

Fake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035

Jan 16, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.43%chance

688269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

873

Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?

Sep 1, 6:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.93%chance

723463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1251

1187

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

36.86%chance

473297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1443

1123

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Nov 27, 12:11 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

273075

OptionProbability

2100

2075

2050

2040

2030

2025

2024

2023

39

33

20

11

8

7

6

4

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

66.3%chance

72461

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4576

2499

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

69.36%chance

161820

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1641

364

Will labor’s share of income decline in 2025?

Jun 3, 8:13 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

64.23%chance

12619

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1349

757

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Dec 7, 1:29 PMMar 2, 11:00 AM

60.81%chance

13379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

842

Will Fast Retailing share price drop below 35,000 JPY by EOY?

Jun 9, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

2305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

766

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
Britain
US Foreign Policy
Policy
UK Poised to Abandon Apple iCloud Backdoor Demand Under US Pressure
Authors
19
12 days ago

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