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Top stories

Florida Governor DeSantis Orders Removal of Rainbow Crosswalks; FDOT Enforces Amid Fort Lauderdale Appeal and LGBTQ+ Protests

US Domestic Policy

Florida Governor DeSantis Orders Removal of Rainbow Crosswalks; FDOT Enforces Amid Fort Lauderdale Appeal and LGBTQ+ Protests

Authors

30

3 months ago

Prediction markets for shooting

US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?

Sep 11, 10:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.83%chance

219394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5857

171

Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?

Feb 10, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.1%chance

218125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2423

821

NATO shoots down manned, Russian military aircraft in 2025

Sep 23, 4:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.92%chance

344271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3013

332

Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?

Nov 9, 12:22 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

10.94%chance

313258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2853

351

Will U.S. military forces deployed in U.S. cities shoot and kill a U.S. citizen in 2025?

Oct 1, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.84%chance

302883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2222

450

When will Aella shoot a video in space?

Nov 12, 7:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

51427

OptionProbability

2040 or later

2036-2039

2033-2035

2030-2032

2027-2029

2025-2026

70

9

8

7

4

2

Will EHarding's market "Will any Democratic state legalize school shootings by the end of 2032?" resolve accurately?

Jun 2, 1:47 PMDec 31, 2:00 PM

70%chance

13947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1420

750

Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?

Apr 15, 7:34 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

64.2%chance

20753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1294

773

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.76%chance

14459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

458

32

Will the trump shooting turn out to be an inside job by the deep state?

Jul 14, 10:30 AMDec 31, 6:59 PM

10%chance

11441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

ANTI-ICE inscription written by shooter? (Dallas, TX shooting)

Sep 24, 7:57 PMDec 31, 8:55 PM

81.39%chance

12407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

48

Will there be a mass shooting in the US more deadly than the 2017 Las Vegas shooting before 2030?

Oct 21, 6:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

542

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

108

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