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Top stories

YouTube Faces Backlash Over Undisclosed Machine-Learning Edits to Shorts Videos

YouTube Faces Backlash Over Undisclosed Machine-Learning Edits to Shorts Videos

Authors

41

10 months ago

Will Smith Tour Video Draws Scrutiny Over Suspected AI-Generated Crowds

Will Smith Tour Video Draws Scrutiny Over Suspected AI-Generated Crowds

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Shorts

In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?

Aug 18, 10:56 AMSep 1, 4:00 AM

7%chance

5711993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3645

274

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.83%chance

292683

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

753

[short fuse] What was the source of the explosion-like sound heard in New England? [add responses]

May 30, 6:55 PMJun 29, 6:48 PM

132037

OptionProbability

Meteor, comet, etc

Military training exercise

Earthquake or seismic event

Space debris re-entry

Industrial manufacturing accident

Large-scale construction demolition

Atmospheric pressure wave anomaly

Sonic boom from commercial or private spacecraft

Large-scale natural gas pipeline explosion

Transformer station or power grid failure

Other

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Michael Burry actually get it right and profit >$1 Billion from a short position before 2030?

Nov 15, 2:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.4%chance

16740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

39

Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?

Mar 8, 6:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.57%chance

15560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

881

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 16, 2:14 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

20.05%chance

6237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

690

Will a stage at the 2026 Tour de France be cut short due to pro-Palestine protests?

Sep 15, 3:20 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

19.53%chance

15210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Will Hindenburg Research release at least one stock short report in 2030?

Jun 21, 3:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.51%chance

4122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

26

Will "A short course on AGI safety from the GDM Ali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 29, 5:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

"Dividends for SHORT" anti-stock

Apr 19, 2:14 AMApr 19, 3:59 AM

415

OptionProbability

YES

NO

123

99

Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 27, 8:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.88%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

941

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