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Top stories

YouTube Faces Backlash Over Undisclosed Machine-Learning Edits to Shorts Videos

YouTube Faces Backlash Over Undisclosed Machine-Learning Edits to Shorts Videos

Authors

41

1 year ago

Will Smith Tour Video Draws Scrutiny Over Suspected AI-Generated Crowds

Will Smith Tour Video Draws Scrutiny Over Suspected AI-Generated Crowds

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Shorts

In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?

Aug 18, 10:56 AMSep 1, 4:00 AM

3.61%chance

6312985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5165

194

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.54%chance

313292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

842

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

39.72%chance

20807

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

683

Short AI Timelines Stock (Permanent)

Jan 27, 7:45 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

11791

OptionProbability

NO

YES

426

62

Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?

Mar 8, 6:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.57%chance

15560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

881

Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 16, 2:14 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

20.05%chance

6237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

690

By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)

Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

2165

OptionProbability

2045

2040

2035

Later/never

2030

60

56

50

40

39

Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 2, 7:28 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

1164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

85

Will a stage at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana be cut short due to pro-Palestine protests?

Sep 15, 3:21 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

24.72%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

57

Will Merle Streep and Martin Short get married in 2026?

Jul 13, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.83%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

57

Will "A short course on AGI safety from the GDM Ali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 29, 5:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 27, 8:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.88%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

941

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