DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Dismiss
Open main menu
Search
For You
AI
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
United States
World
Show Cause Order News
Prediction markets for Show Cause Order
Prediction markets for Show Cause Order
10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.
Dec 27, 8:26 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
49.59%
chance
17
1736
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1008
992
Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?
Jan 27, 10:17 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
80%
chance
1
1000
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2000
500
Will Manifold Staff rule that the POTUS is the President in this circumstance*?
Mar 11, 1:35 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
59.22%
chance
3
705
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1205
830
Will "impact markets" distribute more than $10m of grant funding before 2030?
Nov 1, 10:00 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
73.01%
chance
4
42
Option
Votes
NO
YES
245
182
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%
chance
1
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
Latest stories
