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Prediction markets for Signals

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40%chance

24919563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2714

1726

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5412310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.89%chance

184256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3019

331

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

5.48%chance

213816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4153

241

Will this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)

Feb 3, 12:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

77.49%chance

271422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1148

898

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.97%chance

231149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1747

843

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.85%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

873

When will JS Signals reach Stage 3?

Oct 1, 7:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1206

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

Will Signal be revealed to have a major undisclosed vulnerability by 2035?

Sep 18, 3:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.15%chance

10138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will Intentshunal Spelling and Grammer Mistakes as Form of Antitechnology Virtue Signaling Beome a Thing?

Feb 21, 4:28 PMMay 29, 4:59 AM

18.21%chance

684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

116

Will a significant extra-terrestrial signal be detected by SETI before the end of the 22th century?

Apr 21, 8:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.13%chance

561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

84

Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?

Jun 4, 2:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.95%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

66

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