SIM News

Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?

Nov 1, 7:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.13%chance

4844799

OptionVotes

YES

32745

4994

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

Feb 14, 1:02 AMFeb 15, 7:59 AM

25.11%chance

278930

OptionVotes

YES

17417

5608

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

31.74%chance

306234

OptionVotes

YES

14661

6824

Will microplastics become an easter egg/feature in any video game (eg a sims clone) by EOY2029?

Sep 21, 5:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

1636

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will MissCriskle’s Twilight - Sims 2 be completed before the end of 2025?

Apr 13, 12:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.09%chance

2260

OptionVotes

YES

380

Will Ken Sim be re-elected mayor of Vancouver in 2026?

Nov 10, 5:22 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

33.35%chance

9211

OptionVotes

YES

257

Will the next The Sims game let Sims be gay?

Sep 29, 5:02 PMSep 29, 4:58 PM

80.01%chance

9195

OptionVotes

YES

200

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from outside of DF?

Mar 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

315

What will be true about the forthcoming The Sims movie?

Sep 23, 7:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7152

OptionProbability

Simlish will be spoken at some point

It will be rated Rotten on RottenTomatoes one week after release

There will be a blur over "adult activities"

Ghost shown on screen

There will be a swimming pool without a ladder (thus trapping the character in the pool)

An exclamation point will appear above someone’s head

There’s a freezer bunny at some point

“Leisure Day” will be referenced in the dialogue

Katy Perry will be involved in some way (producer, actor, on the soundtrack)

A reference is made to Rosebud or Citizen Kane

Somebody dies from fire

It will be released in 2025

Will a semaglutide analogue be included in a Sims-like game by EOY 2029?

Jan 22, 9:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.48%chance

6115

OptionVotes

YES

150

First nation credibly linked to SIM cache found in NY

Sep 23, 3:55 PMSep 23, 3:53 PM

559

OptionProbability

Other

Russia

Iran

China

North Korea

Will a "The Sims"like game allow you to import pictures of real life people into characters in the game by EOY 2026?

Oct 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.31%chance

224

OptionVotes

YES

SIM News

Prediction markets for SIM

Prediction markets for SIM

Prediction markets for SIM

Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Will microplastics become an easter egg/feature in any video game (eg a sims clone) by EOY2029?

Will MissCriskle’s Twilight - Sims 2 be completed before the end of 2025?

Will Ken Sim be re-elected mayor of Vancouver in 2026?

Will the next The Sims game let Sims be gay?

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from *outside* of DF?

What will be true about the forthcoming The Sims movie?

Will a semaglutide analogue be included in a Sims-like game by EOY 2029?

First nation credibly linked to SIM cache found in NY

Will a "The Sims"like game allow you to import pictures of real life people into characters in the game by EOY 2026?

Latest stories

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from outside of DF?