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Prediction markets for SIM

Brittany Simon Stock

Oct 26, 9:20 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1511665386

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2486

1241

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

11.55%chance

4524705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27671

3618

Do we live in a simulation?

Nov 24, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

42.55%chance

513369

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

815

Will microplastics become an easter egg/feature in any video game (eg a sims clone) by EOY2029?

Sep 21, 5:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

1636

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Which will be the most searched game term on Pornhub in 2026?

Dec 10, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11515

OptionProbability

Other

Genshin Impact

Minecraft

Fortnite

The Sims

Overwatch

League of Legends

Valorant

32

30

10

9

7

6

4

3

Will Ken Sim be re-elected mayor of Vancouver in 2026?

Nov 10, 5:22 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

30.91%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

90

Will the next The Sims game let Sims be gay?

Sep 29, 5:02 PMSep 29, 4:58 PM

76.74%chance

9213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from outside of DF?

Mar 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

94

Will a semaglutide analogue be included in a Sims-like game by EOY 2029?

Jan 22, 9:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.48%chance

6115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

87

Will a "The Sims"like game allow you to import pictures of real life people into characters in the game by EOY 2026?

Oct 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.31%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

94

85

∃youtube of The Sims 4 starring Proust, Austen, Brontë,Dream of Red Chamber, Medici, Palaiologos, Doukas, Asen universes

Jun 26, 10:37 PM

10

∃ youtube of The Sims 4 starring Hitler, Mussolini, Goering, Hirohito, Ribbentrop, Speer, Goebbels families by 2045

Jun 26, 10:31 PM

10

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