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Prediction markets for SIM

Brittany Simon Stock

Oct 26, 9:20 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1511665386

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2486

1241

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

10.95%chance

5025557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28523

3510

Do we live in a simulation?

Nov 24, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

42.55%chance

513369

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

815

What Video Games or Video Game World will be Adapted into a TV series or Movie by 2040? (ADD ANSWERS)

Apr 24, 3:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

181466

OptionProbability

Bioshock

The Legend of Zelda

Diablo

God of War

Wolfenstein

Grand Theft Auto

The Sims

Horizon (Series)

Metroid

Half-Life

Baldur's Gate

Super Smash Bros.

Dragon Age (Series)

Skyrim

Firewatch

Starcraft

Overwatch

Dishonored

Hotline Miami

Stardew Valley

95

89

89

77

66

64

62

59

59

54

50

44

39

32

29

27

25

24

21

16

Will Ken Sim be re-elected mayor of Vancouver in 2026?

Nov 10, 5:22 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

35.3%chance

14418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

100

Will the next The Sims game let Sims be gay?

Sep 29, 5:02 PMSep 29, 4:58 PM

76.74%chance

9213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from outside of DF?

Mar 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

94

Will a semaglutide analogue be included in a Sims-like game by EOY 2029?

Jan 22, 9:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.48%chance

6115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

87

Renan Santos ficará nas 3 primeiras posições da eleição Presidencial do Brasil?

Sep 2, 3:47 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

348

OptionProbability

Sim

Não

52

48

Will a "The Sims"like game allow you to import pictures of real life people into characters in the game by EOY 2026?

Oct 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.31%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

94

85

∃ youtube of The Sims 4 starring Hitler, Mussolini, Goering, Hirohito, Ribbentrop, Speer, Goebbels families by 2045

Jun 26, 10:31 PM

10

∃youtube of The Sims 4 starring Proust, Austen, Brontë,Dream of Red Chamber, Medici, Palaiologos, Doukas, Asen universes

Jun 26, 10:37 PM

10

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