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Prediction markets for SimpleBench

In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard?

Jul 6, 10:34 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

295991

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2030

2031

2025

2029

2032

78

31

7

7

7

6

6

6

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