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Prediction markets for Small Modular Reactors

Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?

Sep 26, 6:44 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

36.36%chance

382620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

1115

Rolls Royce SMR nuclear power by 2030?

Jul 18, 6:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.46%chance

232228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

842

Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?

Dec 15, 9:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.74%chance

221693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

368

Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029?

Jan 31, 7:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

161481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

922

Will a small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) for electricity generation be operating in Australia by Jan 1 2035?

Aug 4, 2:58 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

23.41%chance

271172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

913

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

21.94%chance

14672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1338

873

Will a Small Modular Reactor (SMR) enter commercial operation in the US before 2030?

Oct 9, 10:28 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.78%chance

10415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

945

Will there be a nuclear power plant in Helsinki by the end of 2036?

Nov 29, 9:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

28.21%chance

11185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

158

How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?

Oct 16, 5:51 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

483

OptionProbability

1 GW to 3 GW

<1 GW

3 GW to 10 GW

10 GW to 30 GW

>=30 GW

27

23

21

19

11

10 working UK small modular reactors by 2040?

Dec 2, 1:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.07%chance

560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

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