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Prediction markets for Small Talk

The Republicans will be the party to eliminate the Filibuster

Apr 4, 2:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.04%chance

21810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

959

When will be the first terrorist attack using "DJI style" drones?

Jan 14, 4:38 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

8713

OptionProbability

2035

After 2035

2034

2033

2032

2026

2030

2027

2028

2029

2031

2025

73

67

57

50

48

43

43

41

41

41

41

27

Will Veritasium make a youtube video about AI Alignment or Existential Risks in 2025?

Mar 2, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.46%chance

19494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

203

179

AI voice chat servers before 2026?

May 13, 11:31 AMMar 8, 10:59 PM

82.67%chance

17351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

932

Will mainland China have more than one time zone? By mid 2037

Jan 10, 8:07 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

21.41%chance

9202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

265

96

Does a light sterile neutrino explain any experimental physics anomalies?

Nov 24, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

8162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

122

What is your primary type of trading behavior? New trader type definitions!

Feb 24, 7:23 PM

460

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