Smart News

What will be true about Apple's smart ring?

Feb 22, 10:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

857555

OptionProbability

It won't be available for purchase in 2024

Tracks sleep

It won’t have a USB-C port

will support wireless charging

Improved health tracking if you pair it with an apple watch (ie better data if you wear both than either by itself)

It will only be usable with an iPhone

It will be available in a range of colours

It’ll measure blood oxygen saturation / include a pulse oximetry function.

Will support gestures

At launch, the MSRP will be <$500.

Tracks Stress

The ring design will be asymmetrical.

It will eventually be tied up in litigation like the pulse-ox sensor on the watch

There will be a gold version (real gold, not just gold colored)

battery lasts over a week

It will have a physical button on it

It will have a glass or crystal screen

There will be a higher memory model sold for more money at launch (think 128MB vs. 256MB models)

Waterproof up to 100 meters / 330 feet

It will be called the iRing

It will have a camera

It will be announced in 2025

It will be available for purchase in 2024

It will be announced in 2024

100

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

87.15%chance

404338

OptionVotes

YES

1984

682

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.66%chance

434022

OptionVotes

YES

3633

1265

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.7%chance

313019

OptionVotes

YES

1023

838

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Jan 23, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65%chance

182185

OptionVotes

YES

1448

632

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Jul 12, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

242014

OptionVotes

YES

1832

546

Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?

Dec 7, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.46%chance

9479

OptionVotes

YES

233

By 2028, will any coding copilot look more like "pairing with an LLM" than "smart autocomplete"?

Oct 5, 4:35 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

90.97%chance

9376

OptionVotes

YES

386

144

What price will Meta's consumer smart glasses be?

Nov 4, 7:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

30.03%chance

4252

OptionVotes

YES

153

Before 2033 will the expert consensus be that formal methods are the best way to avoid $million smart contract exploits?

Apr 25, 5:18 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

87.57%chance

4175

OptionVotes

YES

199

Which league will sell most smart humanoid robots in 2030?

Mar 4, 1:34 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11140

OptionProbability

Tesla-Boston Dynamics-Sanctuary-LimX

Figure-Agility-Apptronik-Agibot

Unitree-UBTech-1X-MagicLab

Fourier-Kepler-Xiaomi-Xpeng

Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura

Mar 29, 4:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

141

Smart News

Prediction markets for Smart

Prediction markets for Smart

Prediction markets for Smart

What will be true about Apple's smart ring?

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?

By 2028, will any coding copilot look more like "pairing with an LLM" than "smart autocomplete"?

What price will Meta's consumer smart glasses be?

Before 2033 will the expert consensus be that formal methods are the best way to avoid $million smart contract exploits?

Which league will sell most smart humanoid robots in 2030?

Will a major global food shortage occur by 2030, making it smart to invest in food manufacturers, farms, and agricultura

Latest stories