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Prediction markets for Smart

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

88.22%chance

394318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2127

662

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.66%chance

434022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3633

1265

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.7%chance

313019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

838

Apple releases AR Smart Glasses by 2030

Jan 23, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65%chance

182185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1448

632

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Jul 12, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.95%chance

242014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

546

Which peak human skills will smart robots have by 2026?

Mar 17, 12:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

27989

OptionProbability

Reasoning

Speed

Strength

Emotional intelligence

Dexterity

All the ones above

75

74

68

59

20

11

By 2028, will any coding copilot look more like "pairing with an LLM" than "smart autocomplete"?

Oct 5, 4:35 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

90.97%chance

9376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

386

144

Will Apple release a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2026?

May 9, 3:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.71%chance

14366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

38

What price will Meta's consumer smart glasses be?

Nov 4, 7:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

30.03%chance

4252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

66

Which league will sell most smart humanoid robots in 2030?

Mar 4, 1:34 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11140

OptionProbability

Tesla-Boston Dynamics-Sanctuary-LimX

Figure-Agility-Apptronik-Agibot

Unitree-UBTech-1X-MagicLab

Fourier-Kepler-Xiaomi-Xpeng

60

28

7

5

Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?

Dec 7, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.47%chance

367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will the SMART sales tax extension on the June ballot pass?

Mar 23, 6:20 PMJun 1, 11:59 PM

47.91%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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