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Prediction markets for Smart Money

If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?

Feb 27, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.7%chance

14336408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5405

1263

When will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?

Jan 4, 7:34 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

61803

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jul 2029

Before Jan 2029

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

90

87

85

73

54

46

41

33

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

PA Supreme Court justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht retention votes? YES or NO

Oct 18, 11:14 AMNov 5, 10:59 PM

96%chance

3390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

490

20

By 2033 will we have seen a period of at least 24 months where there are no smart contract exploits "stealing" crypto?

Apr 25, 5:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

16%chance

7328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

117

100,000 mana bounty: Solve a difficult cipher

Jan 11, 4:23 PM

00

Recommend me more Podcasts like ACX.

Feb 18, 6:42 PM

00

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