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Prediction markets for Social Media Content Generator

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.76%chance

725643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6181

6090

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?

Jan 13, 11:11 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

92.57%chance

342218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2019

836

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2030?

Jan 15, 9:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

90.81%chance

342133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

959

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2027?

Jan 17, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

75.61%chance

351625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

947

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2029?

Jan 16, 1:24 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

85.97%chance

281437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

927

Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2028?

Jan 16, 10:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

80.88%chance

251027

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

898

Will the majority of entertainment in 2030 be AI generated?

Mar 9, 7:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.1%chance

28869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

801

Will a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?

Jan 8, 9:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.8%chance

7230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Section 230(c) of the Communications Decency Act be significantly amended or repealed by December 31, 2026?

Oct 24, 2:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.14%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

50

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

191

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