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Top stories

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Solar Orbiter

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?

Dec 25, 1:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

27.98%chance

395522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

941

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?

Dec 23, 2:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

42.94%chance

324443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

960

1GW of solar power in Earth orbit by EOY 2031?

Nov 8, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.43%chance

344383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

1428

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?

Dec 24, 12:47 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

58.64%chance

393749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1195

850

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2040?

Oct 19, 3:37 PMJan 15, 10:59 PM

15.57%chance

393632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

938

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.41%chance

312331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

821

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?

Dec 29, 1:15 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

74.94%chance

252282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

157

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

39.09%chance

341918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

748

Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?

Dec 17, 10:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71556

OptionProbability

Orbit

Moon

86

14

Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?

Apr 17, 2:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

71.32%chance

231131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

914

Will "Reflect Orbital" have a solar farm customer before 2030

Nov 3, 11:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.6%chance

6195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Will there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?

Mar 13, 10:53 PMMar 13, 10:50 PM

33.11%chance

490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

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