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Top stories

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Authors

3

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Solar Orbiter

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2045?

Oct 20, 11:04 AMJan 5, 10:59 PM

20.1%chance

395523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

947

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?

Dec 25, 1:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.17%chance

385412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

973

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?

Dec 23, 2:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

40.74%chance

304266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

921

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?

Dec 24, 12:47 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

53.95%chance

373500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1086

935

1GW of solar power in Earth orbit by EOY 2031?

Nov 8, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.67%chance

252646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1507

1493

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

29.6%chance

292090

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

845

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?

Dec 29, 1:15 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

77.08%chance

221922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

262

151

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

40.84%chance

311713

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

710

Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]

Oct 30, 3:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.39%chance

231444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

689

Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?

Dec 17, 10:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71118

OptionProbability

Orbit

Moon

82

18

Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?

Apr 17, 2:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.61%chance

221081

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1290

864

Will "Reflect Orbital" have a solar farm customer before 2030

Nov 3, 11:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.14%chance

5165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

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