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Top stories

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Inouye Solar Telescope Captures Smallest Coronal Loops, First X-Class Flare; NASA Releases Sharpest Sun Images

Authors

3

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Solar Orbiter

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2045?

Oct 20, 11:04 AMJan 5, 10:59 PM

20.1%chance

395523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

947

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?

Dec 25, 1:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.86%chance

395422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

983

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?

Dec 23, 2:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

43%chance

304305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

961

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?

Dec 24, 12:47 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

57.41%chance

373563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1165

872

1GW of solar power in Earth orbit by EOY 2031?

Nov 8, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.56%chance

252649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1510

1490

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

29.6%chance

292090

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

845

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?

Dec 29, 1:15 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

77.08%chance

221922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

262

151

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

39%chance

321745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

750

Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?

Dec 17, 10:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71556

OptionProbability

Orbit

Moon

86

14

Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?

Apr 17, 2:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

71.32%chance

231131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

914

Will "Reflect Orbital" have a solar farm customer before 2030

Nov 3, 11:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.14%chance

5165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?

Mar 13, 10:53 PMMar 13, 10:50 PM

33.11%chance

490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

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