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Prediction markets for Sonoma

On what year will Esmeralda have its first 50 non-staff permanent residents?

Oct 19, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72859

OptionProbability

2028

never

2029

2027

2034

2030

2035

2031

2032

2033

2026

2025

33

30

26

20

20

19

18

17

17

17

13

11

Will Edge Esmeralda have greater attendance YoY every year until 2030?

Oct 19, 4:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.93%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

72

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 2nd State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Damon Connolly

James Gore

Natalie Rogers

Other

25

25

25

25

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