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Prediction markets for SOPH

sophomore year prop bets [add answers]

Jul 29, 11:01 PMAug 31, 10:58 PM

131180

OptionProbability

get a 5 on ap calculus bc

get a 5 on apcsa

get a 5 on ap phys 2

get a 5 on ap econ micro

get a 5 on ap econ macro

get a 5 on ap lang

get an A in honors chem

get a 5 on apush

get an A in mandarin

make USAPHO

make USAMO

make USACO camp

84

78

74

72

72

70

69

64

59

55

45

29

Are there infinitely many Sophie Germain primes?

Nov 6, 1:27 PMNov 13, 10:59 PM

68.93%chance

9322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

82

77

Will Sophie Turner and Joe Jonas get back together?

Sep 8, 1:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10210

OptionProbability

No

Yes

88

12

Will AI/BCIs/neurotech be sophisticated enough to reverse other people's bad opinions of each other by 2033?

Sep 21, 8:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.3%chance

6126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

104

Will Ansh and Sophia have a happy and prosperous marriage?

Nov 3, 3:18 AMNov 9, 4:59 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will someone create a romance novel for Sophie in Sophie's world by EOY2040

Nov 20, 1:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Alden dig a burrow next to Sophie the grivek?

Jul 19, 3:47 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will a sequel to Sophie's World be written by 2040?

Jul 13, 12:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.5%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Is Jose Luis Ricon the world's most sophisticated man?

May 2, 3:07 PM

10

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