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Prediction markets for SOPH

Will I make MOP 2026

Aug 5, 5:40 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

2.6%chance

405394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

612

16

Will my score on USAMO 2026 make MOP?

Dec 25, 4:34 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

39.31%chance

485013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

sophomore year prop bets [add answers]

Jul 29, 11:01 PMAug 31, 10:58 PM

8843

OptionProbability

get a 5 on ap calculus bc

get a 5 on apcsa

get a 5 on ap phys 2

get a 5 on ap lang

get an A in honors chem

get a 5 on ap econ micro

get a 5 on ap econ macro

get a 5 on apush

get an A in mandarin

make USAPHO

make USAMO

make USACO camp

82

78

74

70

69

63

63

63

59

55

45

25

Will I get into MCSP 2026?

Feb 24, 5:33 AMMay 1, 11:59 PM

49%chance

13332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Are there infinitely many Sophie Germain primes?

Nov 6, 1:27 PMNov 13, 10:59 PM

68.93%chance

9322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

82

77

Will Sophie Turner and Joe Jonas get back together?

Sep 8, 1:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10210

OptionProbability

No

Yes

88

12

Will AI/BCIs/neurotech be sophisticated enough to reverse other people's bad opinions of each other by 2033?

Sep 21, 8:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20%chance

6102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

97

Will someone create a romance novel for Sophie in Sophie's world by EOY2040

Nov 20, 1:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Ansh and Sophia have a happy and prosperous marriage?

Nov 3, 3:18 AMNov 9, 4:59 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Alden dig a burrow next to Sophie the grivek?

Jul 19, 3:47 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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