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Prediction markets for Soviet
OptionProbability
87
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
46
37
33
22
OptionVotes
1187
843
OptionVotes
1922
849
When will the next probe successfully descend in the Venusian atmosphere?
Mar 10, 1:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
171007
OptionProbability
80
68
63
54
0
OptionProbability
48
44
36
27
OptionProbability
28
14
13
8
8
7
6
6
5
5
Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be publicly known to exist in any country by 2040?
Aug 28, 6:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
28.79%chance
15332
OptionVotes
995
986
If the Vela incident was a nuclear bomb test, which countries were involved?
Nov 16, 1:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5311
OptionProbability
91
85
33
30
10
10
OptionProbability
70
24
7
Will China provide H-6 bombers to Russia before 2030?
Jun 2, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.22%chance
5105
OptionVotes
205
49
OptionVotes
110
99