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Top stories

NASA Sets Sept. 22 Unveiling of New Astronaut Class, Artemis II Briefings

NASA Sets Sept. 22 Unveiling of New Astronaut Class, Artemis II Briefings

Authors

9

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Space Launch System rocket

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.9%chance

316987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4412

227

Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)?

Jun 6, 12:03 AMJan 21, 1:01 AM

4%chance

83985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4899

204

Will SpaceX launch a non-SpaceX payload on Starship before 2030?

Jun 10, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.11%chance

173378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1889

529

How many rocket launches will be needed for the first Artemis human moon-landing mission?

Nov 27, 11:19 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

302657

OptionProbability

15–19

5–9

10–14

1–4

20–24

25–29

30–∞

30

28

26

7

6

2

2

Will SLS launch in 2027?

Feb 28, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.12%chance

171885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

When will Haven-2 launch?

Mar 28, 3:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51295

OptionProbability

2030

2031

2032

Later than 2032/never

2029

2028

2027

2026

25

20

16

15

10

9

3

2

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8789

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None reach orbit by EOY 2035

Other

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

54

28

6

5

4

4

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

Jan 23, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

3592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

626

72

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

Dec 11, 8:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10

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