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Prediction markets for Spain

Will Germany recognize Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

6.16%chance

4310131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4501

222

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

57.28%chance

306570

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1399

433

Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.36%chance

221775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

907

Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?

May 29, 9:56 AMJan 1, 12:00 PM

23.02%chance

231256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

868

Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?

Jan 24, 8:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.4%chance

13838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1626

831

Will life expectancy in any province of Spain reach 90 years before end of 2040?

Feb 22, 9:43 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

36.77%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

763

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035?

Sep 2, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.39%chance

16558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

867

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.87%chance

16543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

969

Is African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?

Dec 6, 8:12 PMJan 1, 8:08 PM

40.43%chance

7490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will Spain have glaciers in 2033?

Aug 27, 10:32 AMAug 31, 9:59 PM

39.45%chance

19354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

941

Will Jose Luis Ricon's birthday be declared a national holiday in Spain by 2100?

Jul 24, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.07%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

247

40

Will Jose Luis Ricon meaningfully increase Spain's birthrate by 0.01% by 2035?

Sep 11, 12:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.95%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

71

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