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Prediction markets for Spain

Will Germany recognize Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

4.88%chance

4310631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5001

193

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.71%chance

316725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

493

Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]

Jan 11, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.34%chance

112228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5155

4936

Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.36%chance

221775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

907

Is African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?

Dec 6, 8:12 PMJan 1, 8:08 PM

26.08%chance

111505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1683

594

Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?

May 29, 9:56 AMJan 1, 12:00 PM

22.07%chance

241306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1349

853

Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?

Jan 24, 8:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

16.25%chance

14852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

845

Will life expectancy in any province of Spain reach 90 years before end of 2040?

Feb 22, 9:43 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

36.77%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

763

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035?

Sep 2, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.39%chance

16558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

867

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.87%chance

16543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

969

Will Spain have glaciers in 2033?

Aug 27, 10:32 AMAug 31, 9:59 PM

39.45%chance

19354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

941

Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2035?

Nov 30, 6:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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