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Prediction markets for Spain

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

49.3%chance

316775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1273

543

Is African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?

Dec 6, 8:12 PMJan 1, 8:08 PM

5.97%chance

155492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3969

252

Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

40.01%chance

53433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12045

8363

Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]

Jan 11, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.42%chance

132359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5045

5045

Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.36%chance

221775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

907

Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?

May 29, 9:56 AMJan 1, 12:00 PM

22.07%chance

241306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1349

853

Will the OMIE Spain annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 60 EUR per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

50.39%chance

41059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11043

8814

Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?

Jan 24, 8:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.67%chance

15902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1601

835

Will life expectancy in any province of Spain reach 90 years before end of 2040?

Feb 22, 9:43 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

36.77%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

763

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035?

Sep 2, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.39%chance

16558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

867

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.53%chance

17553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

979

Will Spain have glaciers in 2033?

Aug 27, 10:32 AMAug 31, 9:59 PM

39.45%chance

19354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

941

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