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Prediction markets for Spain

Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

10%chance

407788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3591

300

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

21.49%chance

275580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

878

Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.36%chance

221775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

907

Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?

May 29, 9:56 AMJan 1, 12:00 PM

23.02%chance

231256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

868

Will Catalunya leave Spain by 2040?

Jan 24, 8:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.4%chance

13838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1626

831

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2035?

Sep 2, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.39%chance

16558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

867

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

33.2%chance

15533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

959

Will life expectancy in any province of Spain reach 90 years before end of 2040?

Feb 22, 9:43 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

38.6%chance

6525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

793

Will Spain have glaciers in 2033?

Aug 27, 10:32 AMAug 31, 9:59 PM

38.74%chance

17334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

929

Will Poland's GDP-per-capita (nominal) be higher than Spain by 2035?

Oct 5, 9:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.82%chance

8142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

79

Will Norway, Spain or Ireland take in more than 1000 Palestinian refugees before 2027?

Feb 6, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.4%chance

551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will Spain ban Bullfighting before Japan bans Whaling?

May 2, 7:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.43%chance

340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

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