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Speech News

Will expressive negative opinions on people with AI partners be considered hate speech by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.96%chance

743637

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

834

6. An AI system will pass the Turing test for speech.

Dec 27, 8:17 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

70.97%chance

142307

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1564

640

JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention

Apr 14, 6:51 PMAug 30, 10:59 PM

9%chance

142180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3180

314

Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end?

Aug 10, 8:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.45%chance

71416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1349

741

Will Manifold take down any user content due to legal threats that violate free speech principles before 2030?

Mar 6, 2:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.5%chance

71095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1409

710

By 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can

Jan 5, 10:55 AMJan 12, 8:29 AM

89.25%chance

131018

OptionVotes

NO

YES

455

147

Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) feature natural and convenient speech-to-speech capabilities?

Apr 25, 11:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.6%chance

10467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

454

92

If I remain living in Canada, will I be subject to any government sanction on speech before 2027?

Mar 27, 12:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.56%chance

6394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

500

103

Will Trump ever give a more aggressive speech than this?

Sep 2, 7:35 AMJan 10, 5:59 AM

36.86%chance

13259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

964

Will a brain-computer interface successfully restore speech in a patient with severe speech impairment?

Jul 29, 4:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.73%chance

4223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

The TSA or U.S. Border Security will experiment with automating their ID checks / Q&A using voice synthesis and speech recognition before the end of 2026

Dec 27, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.67%chance

8119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

155

Xi refers to people including their family size in his speeches, generally

Aug 20, 8:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.04%chance

689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

61

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