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Prediction markets for Spooky
Prediction markets for Spooky
Will it be revealed by 2030 that Bing Sydney's release was partially a way to promote AI safety?
Jun 14, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5.48%
chance
42
2797
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2145
852
Do ghosts exist👻?
Jun 14, 2:24 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
5.62%
chance
15
1690
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1515
876
will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028
May 24, 6:16 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
51.1%
chance
7
633
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1022
978
Is QALY loss from long-term effects of toxoplasma gondii infections greater than 0.1?
Apr 22, 3:03 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
41%
chance
9
81
Option
Votes
YES
NO
181
161
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