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Prediction markets for Spot

Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $95 on March 31, 2026?

Mar 18, 7:25 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

82%chance

375044

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2134

469

Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?

Sep 22, 12:52 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

5.5%chance

163884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4145

241

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031?

Feb 19, 10:45 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

38.15%chance

4589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will Platinum spot price on NYMEX exceed 1200 USD/oz on May 31, 2026?

Mar 4, 3:07 PMMay 31, 3:06 PM

97.62%chance

4562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

641

16

Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $6,500/ton on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:09 PMApr 1, 6:08 PM

11.32%chance

4450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

278

43

Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $7,500 per tonne on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:10 PMMay 1, 6:08 PM

8.56%chance

4313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

329

38

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $110/lb by Mar 2030?

Feb 19, 10:44 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.25%chance

3301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $105/lb by Mar 2029?

Feb 19, 10:44 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

42.69%chance

4226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

How many distinct companies will hold the spot for [my favorite language model for >= 1 contiguous month] in 2026?

May 9, 5:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3159

OptionProbability

3

4

2

5

6+

1

26

21

17

17

13

6

Will the lithium carbonate spot price exceed $25,000 per metric ton on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:08 PMApr 1, 6:08 PM

62.83%chance

1130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $100/lb by Mar 2028?

Feb 19, 10:43 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

67.21%chance

285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Which QB in a new spot will have more wins as a starter in 2026?

Mar 14, 4:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

454

OptionProbability

Kyler Murray

Malik Willis

Geno Smith

Tua Tagovailoa

40

30

19

12

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