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Prediction markets for Spot

Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?

Sep 22, 12:52 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

7.4%chance

194446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3538

283

Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?

Aug 4, 7:12 PMAug 11, 11:59 PM

58%chance

403244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1175

851

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on August 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:26 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

21.9%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

53

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on August 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:26 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

20.83%chance

4138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 650 USD/t on August 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:16 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

67.88%chance

557

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 26 USD/kg on August 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:57 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

42.9%chance

439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on August 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:21 PMAug 31, 4:00 AM

57.63%chance

434

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

55.99%chance

321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on September 30, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:26 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

55.84%chance

219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 400 USD/t on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:19 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

53.72%chance

316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

93

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 700 USD/t on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:19 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

55.24%chance

216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 700 USD/t on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:19 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.35%chance

214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

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