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Prediction markets for Spot

Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?

Sep 22, 12:52 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

7.4%chance

194446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3538

283

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031?

Feb 19, 10:45 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

42.6%chance

41983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $76 on June 29, 2026?

Jun 23, 1:07 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

37.39%chance

7816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1294

773

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 18 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:59 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

72.14%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 17 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?

Apr 8, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

55.96%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 1500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:22 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on September 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:24 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 26 USD/kg on July 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:57 PMJul 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 12 USD/kg on September 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:28 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 8, 2:24 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 38 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:59 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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