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Spotlight News
Prediction markets for Spotlight
Prediction markets for Spotlight
Hillary and Bill Clinton divorce announcement before EOY 2026?
Dec 20, 7:13 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
3.16%
chance
23
6299
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1311
87
Will China experience a military coup before 2028?
Oct 28, 9:10 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
6.52%
chance
24
4386
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3787
264
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
48.44%
chance
21
3540
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1033
971
7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.
Dec 28, 11:31 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.07%
chance
19
3036
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3171
316
Will Bad Bunny make a political statement of some kind during the SB halftime show?
Dec 26, 6:57 PM
Feb 8, 11:59 PM
91%
chance
44
2166
Option
Votes
NO
YES
318
31
Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026?
Jan 2, 6:14 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
79%
chance
9
1081
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1940
516
Venus will be successfully terraformed before Mars?
Jun 7, 4:32 AM
Jun 14, 5:59 AM
6.64%
chance
14
501
Option
Votes
YES
NO
375
27
Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?
Sep 11, 2:51 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
39.35%
chance
5
365
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1241
805
Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?
Jan 20, 9:02 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
42.87%
chance
3
32
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
87
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