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Spotlight News
Prediction markets for Spotlight
Prediction markets for Spotlight
Will SotA on PaperBench (Code-Dev) surpass 75% in 2025?
Apr 7, 1:59 PM
Jan 15, 11:59 PM
14.31%
chance
11
7255
Option
Votes
YES
NO
12235
2473
Will China experience a military coup before 2028?
Oct 28, 9:10 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
7.4%
chance
24
4136
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3537
283
Apple launches a search engine before the end of 2025.
Dec 17, 1:18 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
1.95%
chance
9
645
Option
Votes
YES
NO
708
14
Venus will be successfully terraformed before Mars?
Jun 7, 4:32 AM
Jun 14, 5:59 AM
6.64%
chance
14
501
Option
Votes
YES
NO
375
27
Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?
Sep 11, 2:51 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
39.35%
chance
5
365
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1241
805
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