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Prediction markets for SSH

Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?

Jul 4, 10:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

602925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1337

880

Amazon lets me rent a server located in earth orbit by mid 2029

May 12, 7:03 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.95%chance

351230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1793

847

Will the latest flagship reMarkable tablet and software remain highly customizable through 2025?

Feb 5, 11:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.9%chance

14363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1183

937

When there will be OS which able to run proof-carrying programs?

Jan 16, 9:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 PM

2112

OptionProbability

[2028-2030)

≥2030

[2026,2028)

<2026

35

35

26

4

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