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Prediction markets for Stability

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2744804

OptionProbability

Groq

Stability AI

Mistral AI

ElevenLabs (audio)

Runway AI

Figure AI

Cohere

Grammarly

Perplexity

Devin (Cognition)

Pinecone (database)

Magic (coding)

Midjourney

Nous Research (open source, decentralized AI)

Hugging Face

DataBricks

Suno (music)

Anthropic

xAI

SSI (Ilya Sutskever)

OpenAI

32

32

30

27

26

25

25

25

24

24

24

23

18

16

15

13

11

5

5

5

3

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

Jan 14, 10:50 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM

18.07%chance

443696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

841

What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?

Dec 19, 10:25 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

431785

OptionProbability

Other

DeepMind

OpenAI

DeepSeek

Safe Superintelligence Inc

Anthropic

Meta

US Government

xAI

NVIDIA

Alibaba

Google

None (No AI labs exist)

Thinking Machines

Stability AI

Tesla

Keen

CommaAI

Conjecture

Baidu

Amazon

Apple

Microsoft

Comma

Midjourney

High-Flyer

23

17

15

10

7

5

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Stability AI fold by 2028?

Mar 23, 2:17 PMJan 16, 10:59 PM

82.94%chance

15860

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1133

939

Does the island of stability exist?

Oct 21, 12:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.37%chance

29819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1424

879

What is the half-life of the longest-lived isotope in the island of stability?

Nov 29, 6:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5184

OptionProbability

~1 minute

~1 year

~1 hour

~1 day

~1 week

~1 month

~10 years

~100 years

~1000 years

~10^6 years

∞ (Stable)

~10^9 years

22

9

8

8

8

8

8

7

7

7

5

4

By when will an "island of stability" nuclide be synthesized?

Aug 7, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3129

OptionProbability

Before 2060-01-01

Before 2100-01-01

Before 2040-01-01

Before 2030-01-01

83

83

76

39

In the age of automation, will universal basic income be a necessary policy for economic stability?

Dec 10, 6:34 AMJan 9, 6:59 AM

57.98%chance

11117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

251

174

Will Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Jun 8, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.08%chance

367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

75

DGG/Destiny Orbiter Empire Stability Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 4:12 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

552

OptionProbability

NO

YES

163

137

Do the politics of a country directly affect the longevity, stability, and sustainability of said country?

Aug 19, 9:54 AMSep 30, 9:59 PM

330

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Unsure

61

20

20

Least Convenient Possible World: LGBTQ Rights or Economic Stability?

Jun 18, 4:19 AM

140

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