Stability AI News

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

84.59%chance

439809

OptionVotes

YES

2343

427

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.76%chance

725643

OptionVotes

YES

6181

6090

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

94872

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

Jan 14, 10:50 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

504152

OptionVotes

YES

1057

959

What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?

Dec 19, 10:25 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

521890

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

Other

DeepMind

NVIDIA

xAI

Will Stability AI fold by 2028?

Mar 23, 2:17 PMJan 16, 10:59 PM

32.8%chance

211576

OptionVotes

YES

1483

180

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.86%chance

101503

OptionVotes

YES

1653

607

If an AI catastrophe occurs (1000+ linked deaths), it will be...

Jul 25, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12924

OptionProbability

Because a human directed it to do so

an open source model

A proprietary model

A rogue AI agent acting autonomously

A cyber-physical system malfunction

Military system error

A combination of multiple models

Source unknown/untraceable

Financial system collapse

an openAI model

Biological agent synthesis/release

Due to poor resource allocation (i.e. the AI is responsible for, and fails to continue medicine/food/water stability to a place where human decisionmaking previously successfully did)

A Google model

an Anthropic model

Infrastructure/power grid failure

Accidental release of research code

A nation-state model

Automated social manipulation/misinformation

A Meta model

A Microsoft model

Which of these AI executives will spend a night in jail or prison between 26 Sep 2026 and EOY 2031?

Sep 26, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2498

OptionProbability

Elon Musk (SpaceXAI)

Sam Altman (OpenAI)

Liang Wenfeng (DeepSeek)

Dario Amodei (Anthropic)

Emad Mostaque (Stability AI)

Dario Amodei (Anthropic)

Jensen Huang (Nvidia)

Mark Zuckerberg (Meta)

Sundar Pichai (Google)

Satya Nadella (Microsoft)

Demis Hassabis (Google)

Mustafa Suleyman (Microsoft)

Alexandr Wang (Meta)

Will Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Jun 8, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.09%chance

4117

OptionVotes

YES

162

Will Dominic Cicale be sent to a mental institution by the end of the year? (2026)

Nov 4, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Stability AI News

Prediction markets for Stability AI

Prediction markets for Stability AI

Prediction markets for Stability AI

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?

Will Stability AI fold by 2028?

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

If an AI catastrophe occurs (1000+ linked deaths), it will be...

Which of these AI executives will spend a night in jail or prison between 26 Sep 2026 and EOY 2031?

Will Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will Dominic Cicale be sent to a mental institution by the end of the year? (2026)

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

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