Stability AI News

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79.71%chance

399241

OptionVotes

YES

1982

504

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.76%chance

725643

OptionVotes

YES

6181

6090

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

74271

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Indium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

Jan 14, 10:50 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM

14.4%chance

504152

OptionVotes

YES

1057

959

What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?

Dec 19, 10:25 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

461817

OptionProbability

NVIDIA

DeepMind

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

Microsoft

DeepSeek

Alibaba

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.15%chance

81153

OptionVotes

YES

1303

770

If an AI catastrophe occurs (1000+ linked deaths), it will be...

Jul 25, 9:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11905

OptionProbability

Because a human directed it to do so

an open source model

A proprietary model

A rogue AI agent acting autonomously

A cyber-physical system malfunction

Military system error

A combination of multiple models

Source unknown/untraceable

an openAI model

Biological agent synthesis/release

Financial system collapse

Due to poor resource allocation (i.e. the AI is responsible for, and fails to continue medicine/food/water stability to a place where human decisionmaking previously successfully did)

A Google model

an Anthropic model

Infrastructure/power grid failure

Accidental release of research code

A nation-state model

Automated social manipulation/misinformation

A Meta model

A Microsoft model

Will Stability AI fold by 2028?

Mar 23, 2:17 PMJan 16, 10:59 PM

82.94%chance

15860

OptionVotes

YES

1133

939

China vs Japan Conflict before 2027?

Apr 29, 10:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11368

OptionProbability

No, status quo persists

Yes, via naval or aerial skirmish

Yes, via economic or cyber warfare

Yes

No, diplomatic tensions remain below armed conflict

Will Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Jun 8, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.09%chance

4117

OptionVotes

YES

162

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

Mar 12, 5:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

592

OptionVotes

YES

171

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Stability AI News

Prediction markets for Stability AI

Prediction markets for Stability AI

Prediction markets for Stability AI

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?

What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

If an AI catastrophe occurs (1000+ linked deaths), it will be...

Will Stability AI fold by 2028?

China vs Japan Conflict before 2027?

Will Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

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