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Prediction markets for Stable

Stable Ronaldo Stock

Apr 11, 2:51 AM

292067

OptionProbability

NO

YES

895

576

When will the version of the Typescript compiler written in golang (codename Corsa) get a stable release?

Sep 13, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:43 PM

11385

OptionProbability

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before October 2026

Before September 2026

Before August 2026

Before July 2026

Before June 2026

Before May 2026

Before April 2026

Before March 2026

Before February 2026

Before January 2026

80

79

68

60

57

56

40

39

27

9

6

5

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

Will "Natural Latents: Latent Variables Stable Acro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 5, 4:55 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

24.38%chance

5958

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

556

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Jun 18, 4:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.67%chance

9560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1286

777

Will WEI (Web engine integrity) be shipped in a stable Google Chrome release by the end of 2025?

Sep 5, 5:31 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

4.66%chance

3330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

420

25

Will Rust support specialization on stable by end of 2026?

Dec 20, 7:37 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

11.36%chance

10239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

303

33

Will a spacecraft achieve a stable orbit around a star other than the Sun prior to 2200?

Oct 7, 4:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.48%chance

11202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

951

Will stable-totalitarianism prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 2:30 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

53.7%chance

7130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

221

WIll answers from top LLMs about COVID origins be stable in 2034?

May 28, 6:36 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

41%chance

462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

87

When will 60° of sky be enough for a stable Starlink connection?

Apr 22, 7:43 PM

50

When will we get "Stable Diffusion for voice"

Feb 26, 5:05 PM

270

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