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Prediction markets for Stable

Will Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]

Jan 25, 10:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.74%chance

5978710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15372

6505

Stable Ronaldo Stock

Apr 11, 2:51 AM

292067

OptionProbability

NO

YES

895

576

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Jun 18, 4:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.33%chance

101284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2138

512

Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?

Dec 22, 12:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.37%chance

211178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

741

Will a spacecraft achieve a stable orbit around a star other than the Sun prior to 2200?

Oct 7, 4:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.47%chance

131054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1447

428

Will "Natural Latents: Latent Variables Stable Acro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 5, 4:55 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

24.38%chance

5958

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

556

Will Rust support specialization on stable by end of 2026?

Dec 20, 7:37 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

12.21%chance

14851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

Will US translator jobs stay stable based on 2026 data (likely to be published Q1 2027)?

Aug 31, 3:27 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

60.66%chance

7136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will stable-totalitarianism prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 2:30 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

53.7%chance

7130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

221

WIll answers from top LLMs about COVID origins be stable in 2034?

May 28, 6:36 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

41%chance

462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

87

When will 60° of sky be enough for a stable Starlink connection?

Apr 22, 7:43 PM

50

When will we get "Stable Diffusion for voice"

Feb 26, 5:05 PM

270

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