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Prediction markets for Stacks

How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?

Aug 2, 1:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73209459

OptionProbability

3 or more

4 or more

5 or more

6 or more

7 or more

10 or more

15 or more

20 or more

100

97

29

3

2

1

1

0

Will a new Magic card reference The Stack XOR Summoning Sickness before 2028?

Feb 13, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.72%chance

143335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1675

597

Will more professional devs use Rust than C++ in the 2030 StackOverflow developer survey?

Feb 3, 5:22 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

57.51%chance

442204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1323

633

Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?

Jul 8, 3:12 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

43.65%chance

201820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

880

Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2035?

Jul 7, 7:48 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

19.74%chance

131628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2017

496

When will the majority of the Stacks project be formalized?

Jul 26, 9:08 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

31430

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

2030 or later

2029

2024

2025

31

20

20

15

9

3

3

Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?

Dec 27, 12:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.78%chance

20945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

970

Proof of stack market resolution

Dec 13, 7:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.76%chance

18893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

95

How will my local supermarket stack shelves in 2035?

Jan 21, 2:17 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

9784

OptionProbability

Humans

No local supermarket exists / other

Task-specific robots

Non-humanoid general-purpose robots

Humanoid general-purpose robots

31

25

22

16

6

Will Visual Studio Code be the most popular IDE in every Stack Overflow Developer Survey until 2030?

Apr 10, 3:20 PMDec 31, 1:05 PM

42.53%chance

17776

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

849

Quantum programming language enters GitHub's or Stack Overflow's Top 10 before 2029

Apr 21, 9:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

12739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

27

AI + tariffs split pharma into "local stacks" by 2040?

Nov 2, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.47%chance

391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

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