Stadium News

Manifold The Site 2026 Prop Bets

Dec 2, 9:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

529613

OptionProbability

Mana-purchasable profile flair

Optional paid subscription plan(s) for users

You earn mana if you add liquidity to someone else’s market (trader bonus, fees etc)

New type(s) of user badge

Manifest happens and >600 attendees

@acc is active

Anybody stays in Masters all 12 months

New market type

Subsidizers get bonuses or fees from trader activity (or a cut of such from creator's share)

Spoiler resolutions feature added

manifold.markets/home changes to something other than Browse

New leagues division

Topics properly nest and show child topic markets

Merch shop sends tracking information to your email

Active traders (daily 7d avg) >2000 at any point

Automatic house-provided subsidies

Mentioned in NYT

$10k+ mana sales in one day

Mana Merch Shop sells Ṁ10M+

Someone loses Ṁ1M in a single market

manifold UI-based auto-resolutions options added

Top-10 user on profit/creator/referral leaderboard permabanned

A mod permabanned

Raises $10M+ in external funding

Partner-esque program (re)launches

New currency

3+ ManifestXs

A previously banned user becomes a mod

A founder returns

Manifold ad visible on TV in a stadium

ReReRePivot (a new method for real money launches)

Site completely offline for continuous 24h+

House-mediated p2p loans

Charity program returns and $100k+ donated

Acquired by another prediction market company

Site shuts down permanently/indefinitely

100

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

56553

OptionProbability

Kansas

Missouri

Other

Which of the following events will happen first?

Apr 2, 1:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

443206

OptionProbability

Forbes announced the world's first trillionaire

Half-Life 3 is released

The year 2030 begins (and none of the other options has happened)

Man walks on the moon again

Bitcoin price reaches $200,000

Taiwan is annexed by China

Both Biden and Trump have died

Taylor Swift successfully concludes a second pregnancy

A nuclear weapon is used on the battlefield (not a test)

A military coup seizes power in a G8 country

Bitcoin price falls to $10,000

Jimmy Carter turns 102 years old

The number of judges on the US Supreme Court becomes higher than the current 9

Bitcoin recognised as legal tender in at least five G8 countries

Football team AS Roma builds a new stadium and plays the first official game in it

🏈 Washington Commanders (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Apr 15, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

182808

OptionProbability

Wins a preseason game

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Jayden Daniels starts at least 16 games

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Announces a move to RFK Stadium in Washington DC before 2026

Top EPA/play offensive team by the end of the regular season

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

100

Will the Oakland A's play a home game in their new stadium in Las Vegas by 2027?

Apr 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.33%chance

121542

OptionVotes

YES

1121

960

Will a Big Mac cost more than $10 in 2026?

Jan 13, 8:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.49%chance

20664

OptionVotes

YES

1008

972

Will the Oakland A’s break ground on a stadium at Howard Terminal before January 1, 2028?

Feb 12, 2:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.71%chance

7536

OptionVotes

YES

506

Will the Oakland Athletics make the playoffs the first full season played at their new stadium in Las Vegas?

Apr 1, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.17%chance

9192

OptionVotes

YES

406

194

Will San Francisco's Westfield Mall be converted to a stadium?

Jun 27, 4:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.21%chance

5160

OptionVotes

YES

273

Where will the Chicago Bears build their new stadium?

Mar 21, 11:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6133

OptionProbability

Arlington, Illinois

Northern Indiana

Chicago lakefront

Somewhere else

Will a baseball stadium be built on the site of the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas before December 31, 2030?

Jun 2, 12:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.99%chance

599

OptionVotes

YES

185

Will a Major League Baseball team forfeit again before the end of 2029?

Apr 18, 3:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.02%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

231

118

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Manifold The Site 2026 Prop Bets

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Which of the following events will happen first?

🏈 Washington Commanders (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Will the Oakland A's play a home game in their new stadium in Las Vegas by 2027?

Will a Big Mac cost more than $10 in 2026?

Will the Oakland A’s break ground on a stadium at Howard Terminal before January 1, 2028?

Will the Oakland Athletics make the playoffs the first full season played at their new stadium in Las Vegas?

Will San Francisco's Westfield Mall be converted to a stadium?

Where will the Chicago Bears build their new stadium?

Will a baseball stadium be built on the site of the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas before December 31, 2030?

Will a Major League Baseball team forfeit again before the end of 2029?

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