Stadium News

Manifold The Site 2026 Prop Bets

Dec 2, 9:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

448887

OptionProbability

Optional paid subscription plan(s) for users

You earn mana if you add liquidity to someone else’s market (trader bonus, fees etc)

New type(s) of user badge

Anybody stays in Masters all 12 months

New market type

Manifest happens and >600 attendees

Mana-purchasable profile flair

Spoiler resolutions feature added

Mana Merch Shop sells Ṁ10M+

Subsidizers get bonuses or fees from trader activity (or a cut of such from creator's share)

New leagues division

Topics properly nest and show child topic markets

Mentioned in NYT

Active traders (daily 7d avg) >2000 at any point

manifold.markets/home changes to something other than Browse

Automatic house-provided subsidies

$10k+ mana sales in one day

@acc is active

ReReRePivot (a new method for real money launches)

A founder returns

Someone loses Ṁ1M in a single market

manifold UI-based auto-resolutions options added

Top-10 user on profit/creator/referral leaderboard permabanned

Raises $10M+ in external funding

A mod permabanned

Partner-esque program (re)launches

3+ ManifestXs

A previously banned user becomes a mod

New currency

Manifold ad visible on TV in a stadium

Site completely offline for continuous 24h+

House-mediated p2p loans

Charity program returns and $100k+ donated

Acquired by another prediction market company

Site shuts down permanently/indefinitely

100

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

44553

OptionProbability

Missouri

Kansas

Other

Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?

Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

57%chance

174358

OptionVotes

YES

1185

894

🏈 Washington Commanders (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Apr 15, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

182808

OptionProbability

Wins a preseason game

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Jayden Daniels starts at least 16 games

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Announces a move to RFK Stadium in Washington DC before 2026

Top EPA/play offensive team by the end of the regular season

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

100

Which of the following events will happen first?

Apr 2, 1:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

422446

OptionProbability

Half-Life 3 is released

Man walks on the moon again

The year 2030 begins (and none of the other options has happened)

Bitcoin price reaches $200,000

Forbes announced the world's first trillionaire

Taiwan is annexed by China

Both Biden and Trump have died

Taylor Swift successfully concludes a second pregnancy

A nuclear weapon is used on the battlefield (not a test)

A military coup seizes power in a G8 country

Bitcoin price falls to $10,000

Jimmy Carter turns 102 years old

The number of judges on the US Supreme Court becomes higher than the current 9

Bitcoin recognised as legal tender in at least five G8 countries

Football team AS Roma builds a new stadium and plays the first official game in it

Will the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Champion have an animal mascot AND a primary team color of blue? March Madness

Feb 26, 1:37 AMApr 10, 12:00 AM

48%chance

81586

OptionVotes

YES

1041

961

Will the Oakland A's play a home game in their new stadium in Las Vegas by 2027?

Apr 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.33%chance

121542

OptionVotes

YES

1121

960

Will the Oakland A’s break ground on a stadium at Howard Terminal before January 1, 2028?

Feb 12, 2:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.71%chance

7536

OptionVotes

YES

506

Will the Oakland Athletics make the playoffs the first full season played at their new stadium in Las Vegas?

Apr 1, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.17%chance

9192

OptionVotes

YES

406

194

Will San Francisco's Westfield Mall be converted to a stadium?

Jun 27, 4:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.21%chance

5160

OptionVotes

YES

273

Will a baseball stadium be built on the site of the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas before December 31, 2030?

Jun 2, 12:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.99%chance

599

OptionVotes

YES

185

Where will the Chicago Bears build their new stadium?

Mar 21, 11:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

490

OptionProbability

Arlington, Illinois

Northern Indiana

Chicago lakefront

Somewhere else

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Manifold The Site 2026 Prop Bets

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?

🏈 Washington Commanders (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Which of the following events will happen first?

Will the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Champion have an animal mascot AND a primary team color of blue? March Madness

Will the Oakland A's play a home game in their new stadium in Las Vegas by 2027?

Will the Oakland A’s break ground on a stadium at Howard Terminal before January 1, 2028?

Will the Oakland Athletics make the playoffs the first full season played at their new stadium in Las Vegas?

Will San Francisco's Westfield Mall be converted to a stadium?

Will a baseball stadium be built on the site of the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas before December 31, 2030?

Where will the Chicago Bears build their new stadium?

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