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Prediction markets for Stage

Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 6:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.39%chance

2026353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2789

359

Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.87%chance

156971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5814

172

Will there be a stage performance of an UNSONG musical by EOY 2025?

Feb 23, 8:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.56%chance

625790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2537

559

Will any rider finish in the 2025 Tour de France Femmes GC top 5, who was not in the front group on Stage 5?

Jul 30, 8:48 PMAug 3, 11:59 PM

79.11%chance

93628

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1946

514

Will a Starship upper stage with Raptor 2 engines ever be caught successfully?

Jun 3, 8:30 PMJun 1, 8:19 PM

15.33%chance

122648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2350

426

Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?

May 10, 6:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

80.32%chance

212239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1954

278

Will an ASO or RCS stage race use timed segments for the mountain classification before the end of the 2025 UCI season?

Jul 19, 10:48 PMNov 1, 4:59 AM

10.36%chance

51962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2701

100

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.55%chance

261714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

926

Was the Wagner Group’s rebellion in June 2023 a strategic ruse staged by Russian leadership?

Jun 26, 4:36 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

7.9%chance

19967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1525

902

Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 10:52 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

78.09%chance

18724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

893

Will JS Module Expressions reach stage 3 by 2026?

May 28, 9:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

59.74%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1218

821

By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?

Aug 10, 10:32 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

150

OptionProbability

2028-12-31

2030-12-31

2028-09-30

50

50

43

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