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Top stories

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

US Domestic Policy

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

Authors

12

1 year ago

Microsoft Expands Xbox Cloud Gaming to Game Pass Core and Standard with PC Access, Xbox Insiders, and August Update Features

Microsoft Expands Xbox Cloud Gaming to Game Pass Core and Standard with PC Access, Xbox Insiders, and August Update Features

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Standard

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1927

1123

Will Claude Code support the .agents/skills/ standard before 2027?

Jun 25, 4:00 PMJan 2, 12:59 AM

44.18%chance

173013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1124

890

Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?

Oct 30, 5:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.01%chance

292209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

916

Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?

Jul 23, 4:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.74%chance

321956

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6059

5939

Will ZFC no longer be the standard foundation for mathematics by 2050?

May 5, 10:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.14%chance

501786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

919

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

51.46%chance

12934

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

975

Will OpenAI become a standard C Corp before 2027

Nov 22, 10:45 PMDec 23, 11:59 PM

22.25%chance

27928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

956

Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI?

Feb 21, 9:22 PMFeb 22, 6:59 AM

71.55%chance

32887

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

941

Will women lower their standards for men on average by 2033?

Mar 26, 12:32 AMMar 26, 11:59 PM

20%chance

18806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1213

919

By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

Mar 27, 1:00 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.04%chance

24603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

891

Will any top-20 US or Canadian brokerage publicly endorse an open investing-agent standard by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.15%chance

4408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

769

Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:42 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

39.06%chance

8320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

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