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Prediction markets for Starling

By when will Starliner-1 launch?

Jun 8, 2:41 PMJul 31, 5:59 AM

1873968

OptionProbability

2027-12-31

2026-12-31

2025-03-31

2025-06-30

2025-09-30

2025-12-31

76

37

0

0

0

0

Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?

Mar 24, 7:01 AMJan 7, 12:59 PM

76.83%chance

7322059

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1312

870

Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?

Aug 25, 9:02 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

34.46%chance

415110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

725

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70%chance

224938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

960

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2026?

Jan 14, 3:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.17%chance

253656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1183

531

Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?

Jan 15, 9:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.35%chance

132254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2943

340

SpaceX / Starlink surpass $50 billion revenue by 2030

Jan 21, 2:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.45%chance

342176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1769

653

Will Starlink launch their own phone before 2028?

Oct 17, 11:38 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.24%chance

111122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2117

472

Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045

Jan 28, 7:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.63%chance

19627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

947

Will Starlink join the S&P 500?

Jan 7, 11:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

73.25%chance

13597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

947

Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?

Jan 15, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.21%chance

21576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1264

922

Will SpaceX pick up and return at least 10 starlink satellites to Earth by mid 2031?

May 12, 7:11 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.58%chance

8389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

841

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