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Prediction markets for Startup

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.52%chance

72137235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32209

7665

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

3%chance

2132109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5686

176

Will Elon Musk's next startup involve movable housing?

May 16, 12:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.18%chance

333130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

936

Will micro-nations become the new startups by 2030?

Jan 27, 12:06 PMFeb 4, 4:59 AM

13.34%chance

231905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

953

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25%chance

231085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

870

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

Will Elon Musk's next startup involve any technology mentioned in Eliezer Yudkowsky's major "dath ilan" posts that is more completely deployed on dath ilan than on Earth?

May 17, 1:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21.9%chance

18623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

848

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

17528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

880

"Will Orion (AI EdTech Startup) reach a $1B 'Unicorn' valuation by end of December 31, 2028?"

Apr 8, 6:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

1200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

How far will my tech startup NiceGit progress by July 2026?

Dec 13, 1:03 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM

5193

OptionProbability

Beta launch with >100 non-paying users

Beta launch with >1,000 non-paying users

Raise investment of $100k-$2m

> $100k in Annual Recurring Revenue

Raise investment of >$2m

> $1m in Annual Recurring Revenue

66

41

41

23

7

5

Will the AI-based carbon emissions tracking startup reach 100 paying business customers by December 31, 2026?

Jan 9, 2:42 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

57.01%chance

10162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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