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Prediction markets for Startup

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.56%chance

72137446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31997

7675

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

3%chance

2132109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5686

176

Will Elon Musk's next startup involve movable housing?

May 16, 12:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.18%chance

333130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1155

936

What will happen with the recent lawsuits by major record labels against AI music startups?

Jun 26, 12:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

111990

OptionProbability

A lawsuit reaches a settlement

Training data is leaked or disclosed publicly by the court

Microsoft drops its partnership with Suno

A lawsuit reaches judgment

A lawsuit reaches trial

A lawsuit is dismissed

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the plaintiff

A lawsuit expands to include Microsoft as a defendant

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the defendant

Udio or Suno will shutdown services permanently

A Billboard Top-100 Artist testifies at trial

Udio or Suno will shutdown services temporarily

100

73

69

52

42

37

34

31

26

21

20

9

Will micro-nations become the new startups by 2030?

Jan 27, 12:06 PMFeb 4, 4:59 AM

13.34%chance

231905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

953

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Nov 20, 8:19 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

66.85%chance

231298

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25%chance

231085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

870

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

Will Elon Musk's next startup involve any technology mentioned in Eliezer Yudkowsky's major "dath ilan" posts that is more completely deployed on dath ilan than on Earth?

May 17, 1:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21.9%chance

18623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

848

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

17528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

880

Will my tech startup, Weather Brother, make $100k (USD) by June 30, 2026?

Jan 28, 1:08 AMJun 29, 11:59 PM

15.78%chance

8467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

136

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