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Prediction markets for Startups

Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.88%chance

66131656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

36780

7465

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

1.49%chance

2125304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8143

123

Terence Tao leaves academia for an AI Math startup (Ken Ono style) in 2026

Jan 3, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4110550

OptionProbability

Stays in Academia (UCLA or otherwise)

N/A

Leaves Academia for AI Math startup

70

25

5

Will Taco Tuesday manifest any new startups?

Jun 11, 7:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

95.62%chance

174085

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4788

245

Will Elon Musk's next startup involve movable housing?

May 16, 12:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11.16%chance

323030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

947

Will micro-nations become the new startups by 2030?

Jan 27, 12:06 PMFeb 4, 4:59 AM

13.34%chance

231905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

953

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.04%chance

19864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1499

808

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

Will Elon Musk's next startup involve any technology mentioned in Eliezer Yudkowsky's major "dath ilan" posts that is more completely deployed on dath ilan than on Earth?

May 17, 1:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21.9%chance

18623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

848

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

17528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

880

Will Y Combinator fund 3 or more quantum-related startups in its next public batch update within the next 2 months?

Jan 20, 9:49 PMMar 20, 9:49 PM

60.54%chance

6412

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1239

807

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