State of the Union News
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Prediction markets for State of the Union
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
98
96
91
90
89
89
88
85
81
81
77
77
76
75
73
72
71
70
69
66
65
65
63
63
60
60
57
49
49
43
41
38
34
33
32
28
27
27
26
24
21
20
18
17
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
11
10
10
9
8
7
6
5
5
5
5
3
3
0
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53.3%chance
1614186
OptionVotes
11095
8929
As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
Dec 28, 1:16 PMNov 1, 10:59 AM
15.55%chance
253186
OptionVotes
1173
947
🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?
Apr 6, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.07%chance
61130
OptionVotes
115
98
Will a European Union member boycott the United States portion of the 2026 World Cup?
Jan 14, 9:58 PMJul 20, 11:59 PM
6.14%chance
12729
OptionVotes
233
86
Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?
Dec 16, 8:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
91.43%chance
15609
OptionVotes
1343
938
Will a majority of Democratic Congresspeople boycott any of Trump’s State of the Union addresses?
Mar 27, 4:46 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
30.56%chance
10517
OptionVotes
1507
663
Paired Market: In what way will Puerto Rico no longer be a US Territory?
Aug 5, 5:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
9339
OptionProbability
61
29
9
1
Which member state of the European Union will be the first to achieve a life expectancy of 90 at birth for females?
Apr 15, 3:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5298
OptionProbability
43
40
38
34
34
Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?
Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46%chance
16284
OptionVotes
1036
965
By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?
Aug 8, 8:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32.49%chance
7153
OptionVotes
170
135
Will the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?
Apr 8, 4:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
37.51%chance
324
OptionVotes
108
76


