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Prediction markets for State Street

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

4.1%chance

9934619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3768

661

Which of these new vehicle types will Tesla produce by 2034?

Jan 6, 6:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

704710

OptionProbability

A minibus

A bus

An airplane

A flying car

66

51

28

26

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

48.17%chance

513191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4413

2269

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

113103

OptionProbability

GlobalFoundries

USA Rare Earth

ExxonMobile

Chevron

Sunoco

Boeing

Ford

Palantir

Tesla

AMD

United Health

Moderna

100

100

45

45

45

29

17

17

15

15

12

8

Trump meets Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Aug 20, 4:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.9%chance

302429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2071

483

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.28%chance

231399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1997

812

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.57%chance

311019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

377

27

Will it be possible to operate Tesla 2nd gen roadster off the ground in public without a pilots licence?

Oct 16, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.44%chance

15751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1477

677

Will John Fetterman resign from the United States Senate?

Sep 5, 12:07 AMJan 3, 12:00 PM

29.28%chance

8231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

64

Will any major US airlines allow one free checked bag domestically by 2030?

Apr 25, 1:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.02%chance

8159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

95

Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.58%chance

581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will Steve Bannon run for president in 2028 elections?

Nov 7, 6:45 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

7.98%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

88

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