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Prediction markets for State Street

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

1.83%chance

9534412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7356

561

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

57.32%chance

492691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4970

1769

Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in?

Oct 13, 12:01 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

112134

OptionProbability

USA Rare Earth

ExxonMobile

Chevron

Sunoco

GlobalFoundries

Boeing

Ford

Palantir

Tesla

AMD

United Health

Moderna

55

50

50

50

35

29

17

17

15

15

12

8

Trump meets Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Aug 20, 4:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.12%chance

261868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

533

Will Venezuela retaliate?

Jan 5, 4:29 PMDec 31, 4:29 PM

12.57%chance

181456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

38

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.28%chance

231399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1997

812

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

28869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

First event in new White House ballroom?

Oct 26, 4:40 PMFeb 1, 5:35 PM

14603

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2029

Before July 2028

Before Jan 2028

Before July 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2026

68

49

41

28

6

0

Will John Fetterman resign from the United States Senate?

Sep 5, 12:07 AMJan 3, 12:00 PM

29.28%chance

8231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

64

Will any major US airlines allow one free checked bag domestically by 2030?

Apr 25, 1:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.75%chance

7139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

75

Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?

Oct 20, 12:40 AMOct 7, 7:02 PM

51%chance

453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

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