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Statement of Administration Policy News

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Prediction markets for Statement of Administration Policy

During the Super Bowl, will Trump whine about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch?

Feb 3, 9:47 PMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

72.19%chance

16213408

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1611

621

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

6.38%chance

223566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3830

261

Will Bad Bunny make a political statement of some kind during the SB halftime show?

Dec 26, 6:57 PMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

75%chance

532720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

58

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.75%chance

161070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

940

Will JD Vance say something negative about Pope Leo XIV before May 8 2026?

May 9, 2:11 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM

32.08%chance

31664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will the Trump administration's floor price for cerium under Project Vault exceed 6 USD/kg when announced?

Feb 6, 4:38 PMFeb 13, 4:38 PM

40.85%chance

5305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

185

Will Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?

Jan 20, 7:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.41%chance

8230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

330

30

Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?

Feb 27, 6:44 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

78.67%chance

8179

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

52

Will the H-1B visa cap increase by at least 50% or be removed before Fiscal Year 2027?

Jun 17, 10:04 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

13.59%chance

7130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

470

335

Will alcohol be banned in Syria by the end of 2026?

Jan 20, 1:50 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

39.16%chance

770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

99

Federal Reserve announces wholesale CBDC pilot before 2028?

Jun 10, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

50

47

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