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Prediction markets for Stay in LA

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

96138

OptionProbability

May 1 2026

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

July 1 2026

March 1 2026

July 1 2028

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

Sep 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Dec 1 2025

August 1 2025

July 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

80

80

80

79

76

74

63

63

63

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%

Aug 24, 1:11 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

41.03%chance

4202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

2026 City of Los Angeles Charter Reform Predictions

Jul 28, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

No change to the charter

Ranked choice voting for city council or city wide office

Expand the number of council districts

50

50

37

Is language here to stay?

Sep 16, 3:26 AM

80

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