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Top stories

International Dog Day Sparks Adoption Drives and Corporate Promotions Worldwide

International Dog Day Sparks Adoption Drives and Corporate Promotions Worldwide

Authors

31

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Stella

Will Stellantis (Chrysler, Peugeot, Citroën, ...) go bankrupt before 2030?

Sep 24, 6:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.63%chance

13830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

967

Who will be the next Mayor of London after Sadiq Khan?

Apr 3, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12656

OptionProbability

Other

Laila Cunningham

Thomas Skinner

Stella Creasy

Sebastian Coe

Mete Coban

Ant Middleton

Dawn Butler

Florence Eshalomi

David Lammy

Shaun Bailey

Jeremy Corbyn

Rory Stewart

Zoe Garbett

Rosena Allin-Khan

Rushanara Ali

Susan Hall

James Corden

39

26

8

6

6

6

4

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Stellaris 2 be released before 2027?

May 7, 9:58 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

17.55%chance

13321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

46

Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?

May 21, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.55%chance

7225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

1037

Will Ford, GM, or Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by end 2028?

Oct 19, 10:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.36%chance

9129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

133

Will stellar lifting be used to extend the Sun's lifespan to more than 15 billion years?

Oct 13, 9:27 PMOct 21, 3:59 AM

52.48%chance

4110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

203

153

Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?

Jan 2, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.69%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Will any of Ford, GM, Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by EOY 2026

Jan 1, 4:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.7%chance

366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

22

Exit valuation of Stellar Sleep (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Will Alex Zhu ever feel a stellar migraine, or "the suffering of Jesus Christ", in his lifetime?

Jul 22, 9:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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