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Top stories

International Dog Day Sparks Adoption Drives and Corporate Promotions Worldwide

International Dog Day Sparks Adoption Drives and Corporate Promotions Worldwide

Authors

31

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Stella

Will Stellantis (Chrysler, Peugeot, Citroën, ...) go bankrupt before 2030?

Sep 24, 6:04 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.63%chance

13830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

967

Who will be the next Mayor of London after Sadiq Khan?

Apr 3, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12645

OptionProbability

Other

Thomas Skinner

Stella Creasy

Sebastian Coe

Mete Coban

Ant Middleton

Dawn Butler

Rosena Allin-Khan

Florence Eshalomi

David Lammy

James Corden

Shaun Bailey

Jeremy Corbyn

Rory Stewart

Zoe Garbett

Rushanara Ali

Susan Hall

45

13

8

8

8

7

3

3

3

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will any of Ford / General Motors / Stellantis file for any chapter of bankruptcy prior to January 1, 2026?

Sep 27, 3:57 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

6.91%chance

10333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

416

50

Will Stellaris 2 be released before 2027?

May 7, 9:58 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

19.56%chance

12307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Previously unpublished Cormac McCarthy work released before 2028?

May 21, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.23%chance

7215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

622

577

Will Ford, GM, or Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by end 2028?

Oct 19, 10:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.36%chance

9129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

133

Will stellar lifting be used to extend the Sun's lifespan to more than 15 billion years?

Oct 13, 9:27 PMOct 21, 3:59 AM

52.48%chance

4110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

203

153

Next Entain CEO

May 6, 12:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

166

OptionProbability

Richard Flint

Stella David

Other

Adam Greenblatt

Dominic Grounsell

Andreas Meinrad

Rob Wood

William Hornbuckle

Johnny Hartnett

Jonathan Halkyard

20

18

16

9

9

7

6

6

6

5

Exit valuation of Stellar Sleep (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

240

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

60

14

14

11

Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?

Jan 2, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.17%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will any of Ford, GM, Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by EOY 2026

Jan 1, 4:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.56%chance

216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

66

38

Will Alex Zhu ever feel a stellar migraine, or "the suffering of Jesus Christ", in his lifetime?

Jul 22, 9:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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