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Prediction markets for Steps

Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO by the end of 2025?

May 3, 10:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

11530503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2646

754

Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030?

Mar 5, 9:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.5%chance

12912194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1517

969

Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035?

Mar 5, 9:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.33%chance

9211311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

1084

Will Elon Musk step foot on Mars before he passes away?

Jan 31, 1:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15%chance

577622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

722

"Jurassic World: Rebirth" grosses >50% more than "Fantastic Four: First Steps"?

Aug 3, 9:21 PMAug 29, 10:59 PM

95.49%chance

144422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4604

217

Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?

Mar 5, 9:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

59.43%chance

593492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

744

Will Magic remove the upkeep step before 2032?

May 27, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.21%chance

212984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3344

299

Will Joe Biden be alive on the day a human next steps on the moon?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.21%chance

331970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2353

1696

Will a human step foot on the moon in 2026?

Jan 22, 5:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.97%chance

221259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

914

Will Polymarket take more steps to verify that US citizens are not trading on their website before January 1, 2026?

Nov 17, 3:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.75%chance

61147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1312

762

Will the "Stepped Up Basis" rule be eliminated in the US federal tax code before 2035?

Aug 28, 8:27 PMSep 5, 3:59 AM

31.16%chance

2500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1486

673

Will a human step foot on mars before the Toronto Maple Leafs win another Stanley Cup?

Jul 25, 4:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

45.49%chance

5336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

914

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