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Prediction markets for Steve

Will Rootclaim win their $1,000,000 Covid vaccine debate with Steve Kirsch?

Dec 28, 12:34 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

92.82%chance

2716744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3603

279

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 17, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.84%chance

8713743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2349

1035

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.6%chance

211770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1681

443

Before the decade is out Apple will do a digital necromancy of Steve Jobs to deliver a keynote product announcement

May 15, 4:59 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.98%chance

381691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1535

893

Will a human be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 22, 11:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78%chance

231193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

779

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2027?

Jul 8, 1:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.72%chance

171163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

864

In what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"?

Mar 30, 6:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

24985

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2025-2027

2031-2033

2034-2036

2037-2040

2041-2045

2046-2050

35

34

12

8

4

4

3

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2030?

Dec 29, 8:46 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

79.81%chance

18787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

862

Will Steve Aoki ever orbit or walk on the moon?

Mar 25, 9:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.19%chance

11644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

872

Will Steve Ballmer (Former CEO of Microsoft) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 12, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.85%chance

8507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

621

76

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.95%chance

4390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

984

957

Will Steve Austad become centenarian?

Jul 4, 8:15 PMJul 12, 3:59 AM

34.15%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

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