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Prediction markets for Steve

Will Rootclaim win their $1,000,000 Covid vaccine debate with Steve Kirsch?

Dec 28, 12:34 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

94.37%chance

2717244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4103

245

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 17, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.84%chance

8713743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2349

1035

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.06%chance

221820

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1731

424

Before the decade is out Apple will do a digital necromancy of Steve Jobs to deliver a keynote product announcement

May 15, 4:59 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.98%chance

381691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1535

893

Will a human be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 22, 11:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78%chance

231193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

779

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2027?

Jul 8, 1:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.72%chance

171163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

864

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2030?

Dec 29, 8:46 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

78%chance

20913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1292

889

How many test runs will Steve Smith make before he retires?

Oct 10, 4:11 AMNov 11, 1:59 PM

4724

OptionProbability

10,000-12,000

12,000-14,000

14,000-16,000

16,000+

Less than 10,000

56

37

4

2

1

Will Steve Aoki ever orbit or walk on the moon?

Mar 25, 9:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.19%chance

11644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

872

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

6531

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

888

Will Steve Austad become centenarian?

Jul 4, 8:15 PMJul 12, 3:59 AM

34.15%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will Steve Horvath maintain his 5 year loss in GrimAge, or will he mean-revert, by EOY 2028?

Nov 10, 8:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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