Still in the Game News

2h marathon has been officially broken by a human

Neuralink trials have happened with volunteer humans

New Pope after Francis

three or more events from the CoolFold 100 Challenge resolved

five or more events from the CoolFold 100 Challenge resolved

Bitcoin has reached $100K at some point

Taylor Swift has been married

Gold has reached $2500/oz at some point

ETH Ethereum has reached $2800 USD (again)

Ethereum ETH has reached $4000 again

S&box fully released (Facepunch's new garry's mod like game)

xkcd is still producing new comics at least once a month

Mr Beast has 500M or more subscribers on Youtube

USA's Supreme Court is still 9 justices (does not get expanded)

publicly available ChatGPT or similar LLM can solve sudokus reliably

Elon is still at least a partial owner of Twitter

True Detective Season 5 released

Super Smash Bros Melee still a popular esport

Destiny is still regularly livestreaming

Slavoj Zizek still giving public talks

Fortnite Crossover with the Simpsons

Putin still leader of Russia

Xi still leader of China

No humans on the moon since Apollo

Zuckerberg still CEO of facebook/meta

Palworld is still able to be played through Steam

a twitter account has reached 500M followers

Charles still King of UK

Team Fortress 2 is still receiving periodic blog posts / small updates

Hiroyuki Nishimura is still the owner of 4chan

One Piece manga is still going (original series)

The tenth drop of the pitch drop experiment has fallen

Coyote vs Acme releases or leaks

Flo is still the progressive mascot (the actress still working )

At least one of the other prediction market websites has gone out of business

Iceland, Norway, or Japan has banned whaling

@strutheo is still on Manifold, with the same username

the game Rust is still receiving regular updates with new content (not just bug / small fixes)

George RR Martin has released the next GoT / ASOIAF book (The Winds of Winter)

Hytale has fully released to the public (not just a beta)

Winner of 2028 election is Democrat

Nintendo still manufacturing Switch

Apex Legends is still receiving updates and servers are online

The Nintendo Switch successor console has sold at least 65 million units

Total mana bet on Manifold has peaked to 10B in one day at least once

Family Guy has ended

Avatar still has the record for highest worldwide movie gross on BoxOfficeMojo

the Rmax of the top non distributed supercomputer is at least 3000 PFlop/Sec (according to top500.org)

Kingdom Hearts 4 has released

Jared Fogel OR Fetty Wap is out of prison

prong.studio still operational and selling products

Chameleon Twist 3 has released (or another sequel)

Kojima's Physint game has released

Bitcoin has reached $150K at least one time

Old School Runescape has released Sailing and at least 1 other new skill

Weak AGI achieved, as indicated by the YES resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

Magic the Gathering card has sold for $1M or more (other than the One Ring!)

Petco will have filed for bankruptcy

Manifold MAU has spiked to 40k+ at least two separate weeks/occasions

Manifold has sold $40K or more mana in the last 30 days before market close

A second feature length South Park movie has released (like South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut)

at least one spider man movie releases each year

1200 or more official pokemon

Chat GPT 7 or higher available for public use

Annoying Orange youtube channel is still uploading at least one video a month

Palestine / Israel will have come to an agreement on borders (post Oct 7)

Russia AND ROC are both forbidden from entering the Olympics still

Nintendo ends online play and other online services for Switch (as they did for WiiU and 3DS on April 8th 2024)

there will be a USA federal holiday in August (confirmed happening in 2028 or next year in 2029)

Rabbit is still selling R1 (or a sequel product) and it can be purchased by the average consumer

Manifold has collapsed / bankrupt at least once already

The New England Patriots have either won a Super Bowl (2024-2027 seasons) or clinched the division (2028)

Star Citizen has fully released to the public (not just a beta)

A North American team has won a Dota 2 International for the first time since 2015

The record for youngest Best Actor Academy Award Broken (Adrien Brody, The Pianist, age 29)

Build a Bear will have filed for bankruptcy or been bought

jd vance has been president or wins the election to be one

Ukraine-Russia war still ongoing

X (Twitter) brand has changed again (either back to Twitter or something other than X)

Amazon #1 book is a self-help book

A new official weapon has been added to Team Fortress 2 since after 2017

NFL has an official expansion team in Europe somewhere

I'll be dead.

Amazon #1 book is by a politician or musician

There will be a breakthrough in nuclear weaponry

China - Taiwan war / invasion begins

Dwarf Fortress ceases active development

doomsday clock is 100 seconds or more from midnight

Taylor Swift has been divorced

All 9 current Supreme Court justices from today (Jan 2024) are still serving

Turkey has a higher GDP (PPP) than the United Kingdom

a tenth country is confirmed to have nuclear weapons

At least one of Paul Biya, Pope Francis, Ali Khamenei is still in power

China has landed a human on the moon

Josh Shapiro is the President-elect of the United States

Mana can be donated to charity through Manifold at the same rate (1 cent = 1 mana)

Chat GPT 8.5 or higher released for public use

someone has reached 2900 FIDE chess rating

a paper for LK99 or another room temperature superconductor is peer reviewed and replicated

Trump has served at least 1 full day in jail/prison (not at home)

JB Pritzker is the President-elect of the United States

Gretchen Whitmer is the President-elect of the United States

Jared Polis is the President-elect of the United States

No humans exist

Manifold Love is still getting updates or community support/events

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Pick Six

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Any team scores 40+ points

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Safety Scored

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

Overtime

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Fake Punt

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

A player gets an Octopus

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

Fat Guy Touchdown*

Any 400 yard passer

Shutout

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Scorigami

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

All Starting Rookie QBs win

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Pick Six

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Any team scores 40+ points

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Safety Scored

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Fake Punt

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Scorigami

Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Any 400 yard passer

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Overtime

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

A player gets an Octopus

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

Fat Guy Touchdown*

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

All Starting Rookie QBs win

Shutout

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Any team scores 40+ points

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Pick Six

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Overtime

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

A player gets an Octopus

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Fake Punt

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

Fat Guy Touchdown*

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Safety Scored

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Any 400 yard passer

Shutout

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

Scorigami

All Starting Rookie QBs win

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Pick Six

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Any team scores 40+ points

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Safety Scored

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

Overtime

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Fake Punt

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

A player gets an Octopus

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

Fat Guy Touchdown*

Any 400 yard passer

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Shutout

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Scorigami

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

All Starting Rookie QBs win

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Pick Six

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Any team scores 40+ points

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Fake Punt

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Safety Scored

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Any 400 yard passer

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Overtime

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A player gets an Octopus

Scorigami

Fat Guy Touchdown*

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Lateral caught at least 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage (per gamebook) (non-last play of the game)

All Starting Rookie QBs win

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Shutout

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Pick Six

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Any team scores 40+ points

Overtime

Safety Scored

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

A player gets an Octopus

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Fake Punt

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Fat Guy Touchdown*

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Shutout

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Any 400 yard passer

All Starting Rookie QBs win

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

Scorigami

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

35% or higher Kick Return rate

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Pick Six

Overtime

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

Safety Scored

Fake Punt

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes

Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)

Any 400 yard passer

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week

Will a championship belt change teams?*

A 4th and 11+ is converted*

At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?

4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back

A player gets an Octopus

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

All Starting Rookie QBs lose

The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)

Fat Guy Touchdown*

3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

Any team scores 40+ points

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)

All Starting Rookie QBs win

Scorigami

Shutout

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game

NO

NO

YES

NO