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Prediction markets for STOCK Act

Will 2025 be referred to as the start of the second Great Depression?

Apr 3, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.17%chance

329819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4793

209

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

695

Unspecified Stock Market Variable (USMV)

Jun 1, 7:55 PM

242376

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1459

1148

DGG Chat Incel/Redpill Stock (Permanent)

Dec 11, 9:38 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

13679

OptionProbability

YES

NO

276

209

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

20

Do I actually have an edge here? (permanent stock)

Dec 29, 7:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.05%chance

6406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

868

Which Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?

Dec 25, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11292

OptionProbability

China will dominate the global economy.

The AI bubble will NOT pop.

The trade war will broaden.

More and more governments will hit a debt limit.

China will blockade Taiwan.

72

63

59

44

5

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?

Jun 7, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.41%chance

9177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

77

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

7150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Actual Justice Warrior (Sean Fitzgerald) Stock (permanent)

Nov 17, 7:56 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

6141

OptionProbability

NO

YES

144

115

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