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Prediction markets for STOCK Act

Will 2025 be referred to as the start of the second Great Depression?

Apr 3, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.68%chance

329514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4511

222

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

695

Unspecified Stock Market Variable (USMV)

Jun 1, 7:55 PM

222244

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1329

1172

If DOD invokes the Defense Production Act on Anthropic, what effect will it have on other tech stocks?

Feb 25, 10:20 PMApr 30, 9:19 PM

51075

OptionProbability

- 1 to 0 %

Above 0%

- 3 to - 2%

- 2 to - 1%

- 5 to - 3%

Below - 5%

25

25

19

19

8

3

DGG Chat Incel/Redpill Stock (Permanent)

Dec 11, 9:38 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

13679

OptionProbability

YES

NO

276

209

Do I actually have an edge here? (permanent stock)

Dec 29, 7:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.05%chance

6406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

868

Which Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?

Dec 25, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8260

OptionProbability

The AI bubble will NOT pop.

China will dominate the global economy.

The trade war will broaden.

More and more governments will hit a debt limit.

China will blockade Taiwan.

80

72

66

44

3

Actual Justice Warrior (Sean Fitzgerald) Stock (permanent)

Nov 17, 7:56 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

6141

OptionProbability

NO

YES

144

115

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.62%chance

5109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

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