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Prediction markets for STOCK Act

Will 2025 be referred to as the start of the second Great Depression?

Apr 3, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.26%chance

329969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4743

211

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

695

Will an AI Event/Consequence cause a recession by end of 2030?

Aug 14, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

4864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1830

547

DGG Chat Incel/Redpill Stock (Permanent)

Dec 11, 9:38 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

13679

OptionProbability

YES

NO

276

209

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

20

Do I actually have an edge here? (permanent stock)

Dec 29, 7:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.05%chance

6406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

868

Which Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?

Dec 25, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14305

OptionProbability

China will dominate the global economy.

The AI bubble will NOT pop.

The trade war will broaden.

More and more governments will hit a debt limit.

China will blockade Taiwan.

72

72

59

44

5

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?

Jun 7, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.53%chance

13302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

94

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Actual Justice Warrior (Sean Fitzgerald) Stock (permanent)

Nov 17, 7:56 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

6141

OptionProbability

NO

YES

144

115

The SEC decision on novel ETFs

Sep 2, 6:26 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM

452

OptionProbability

Leveraged or single-stock ETFs face new limits

Crypto ETFs singled out with new restrictions

SEC finalize anything from this effort by Sept 1, 2027

SEC proposes slowing down ETF launches

50

50

50

48

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