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Prediction markets for Stock Market

In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?

Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

14.42%chance

9611055

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2522

274

Unspecified Stock Market Variable (USMV)

Jun 1, 7:55 PM

242376

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1459

1148

Manifold Market Ponzi Scheme Stock

Aug 13, 6:14 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

161356

OptionProbability

NO

YES

985

927

Manifold bans "Permanent Stock" markets before 2030

Dec 15, 8:40 PMDec 31, 5:01 PM

30.22%chance

181019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

713

Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?

Sep 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.32%chance

18994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

919

2026 U.S. Stock Market: How will the S&P500 performance in 2026?

Dec 15, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18889

OptionProbability

Up 5% to 14%

Up 4% or less

Down 4% or less

Down 5% to 14%

Up 15% to 24%

Up 25% or more

Down 15% to 24%

Down 25% or more

25

20

19

18

10

3

2

2

When will China's stock market beat its previous all time high? 🐲⛩️🏮🐼🌏

Mar 16, 9:33 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

9679

OptionProbability

2024 to 2029

2030 to 2034

2035 to 2039

After 2040 or Never

96

2

1

1

Banning permanent markets stock [permanent]

Mar 17, 12:27 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

13318

OptionProbability

YES

NO

345

225

Manifold Markets Stock

Mar 9, 12:07 AM

6251

OptionProbability

NO

YES

139

72

Will the S&P500 outperform the total world stock market over the next 50 years?

Apr 4, 12:04 PMApr 3, 3:59 AM

68.95%chance

8135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

308

165

This very market stock

Mar 16, 5:58 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5113

OptionProbability

NO

YES

199

64

Most unique feature of Manifold Markets Stocks (Add your own)

Apr 10, 12:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

482

OptionProbability

Create your own questions

Resolve your own prediction markets

Other

Bounties for comments

Automated market maker (AMM)

Liquidity subsidy

Polls

Prediction market

22

20

13

11

9

9

9

6

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