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Top stories

Capcom Unveils Monster Hunter Stories 3 for 2026 Launch on Switch 2

Capcom Unveils Monster Hunter Stories 3 for 2026 Launch on Switch 2

Authors

5

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Stories

Is at least one of the stories about an innocent person deported by the US to prison in El Salvador substantially true?

Mar 29, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.63%chance

2318382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8486

118

What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

8215250

OptionProbability

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

January 6th

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

The Rise of China

Private Spaceflight

Bitcoin

Violent repression of women in Iran

New York v Trump 2024

Tigray War

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

Enshittification

97

94

88

86

82

82

77

75

63

61

61

57

54

51

40

21

13

In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Mar 2, 7:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.25%chance

474078

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2121

1122

Neural Nets will write award-winning short stories and publishable 50k-word books by the end of 2025

Mar 28, 9:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.48%chance

322884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1793

691

[planecrash] Will Keltham survive the story, including epilogue?

Apr 4, 1:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.75%chance

152522

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1649

900

Will a AAA single-player game use artificial intelligence for real-time story generation by the beginning of 2035?

Dec 6, 1:31 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

90.42%chance

16748

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1664

878

Will "Reliable Sources: The Story of David Gerard" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 11, 12:58 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

82.34%chance

11705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1600

56

Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Apr 1, 11:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

25.9%chance

24688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

974

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

May 19, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.03%chance

16541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

914

Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?

Sep 10, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.99%chance

17377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

943

Is the Letitia James mortgage fraud story legit?

Apr 16, 1:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

42.49%chance

6305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1164

859

🇬🇧 Will the BBC’s top story be about UK heat-related deaths by end of 2030

Aug 4, 12:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.64%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 31, 2025
Jul 31, 2025
Video Games
Culture
Capcom Unveils Monster Hunter Stories 3 for 2026 Launch on Switch 2
Authors
5
2 days ago

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