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Prediction markets for Strategy Update

Will Apple ship a Gemini-powered Siri update to iPhones in 2026?

Mar 26, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52%chance

121212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

149

Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026

Apr 23, 6:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.59%chance

21758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

326

31

Will I be able to pay for my kids' college fund through poker?

Mar 8, 2:14 AMMar 14, 7:59 AM

6.69%chance

11707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

717

120

Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?

Jul 29, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.36%chance

6563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

993

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Coinflip of the century (experiment in prediction markets, read description)

Dec 18, 5:20 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

50%chance

26460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Stellaris 2 be released before 2031?

Jun 14, 12:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.21%chance

8170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

96

Will people have a positive opinion of the Future Circular Collider by 2030?

Apr 11, 7:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.21%chance

9108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

240

237

Will the Patient Philanthropy Fund grow to $10m+ before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:22 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

64.46%chance

241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

116

Mandatory DNA synthesis screening law in the US by '27?

Apr 14, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.79%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

97

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