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Prediction markets for Stream Your Own Game

Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2025?

Feb 25, 8:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.96%chance

10928721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

850

Jasontheween Twitch Stock

Apr 11, 6:11 PM

133212

OptionProbability

YES

NO

489

285

Will Anthropic host a Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2026?

Feb 26, 12:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25%chance

151883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Other than ClaudePlaysPokemon, which AIs will have their own Twitch streams (>24 hrs) playing video games by EOY 2025?

Feb 27, 6:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

101131

OptionProbability

Claude 4

GPT 5

Kimi-K2

Deepseek R2

Grok 4

DeepSeek R1

Llama 4

Grok 3

Gemini 2 Flash Thinking

GPT 4.5

100

59

50

40

34

25

24

9

2

1

Will AI win an episode of wipeout by 2030?

Jul 3, 9:31 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

6.86%chance

13644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

960

Will VLXXHub become Vietnam's #1 streaming service by total watch hours by December 31st, 2025?

Dec 10, 1:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.47%chance

2625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1625

615

What will I game on in 2035?

Dec 4, 9:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4443

OptionProbability

PC / Laptop

Home Console

Handheld Console

Augmented / Virtual Reality

Something totally other

Streaming to any device

Smartphone

Holodeck

Arcade Cabinet

Brain/Computer Interface

80

50

50

50

50

45

39

35

32

25

Will I win my next game of chess with @TobiasVyseri?

Mar 29, 3:12 PMJul 28, 4:00 AM

63.56%chance

14423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

947

Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.99%chance

10362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

954

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:20 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.65%chance

15335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

933

When will Cloud Gaming / Game Streaming overtake Traditional "Local" Console Gaming? 🎮🕹️👾🏆⚔️

Mar 18, 5:48 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

8197

OptionProbability

2033 to 2036

2029 to 2032

2025 to 2028

Never

After 2036

27

21

18

18

17

Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027

May 26, 6:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.44%chance

538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

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