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Prediction markets for Structured Outputs

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2100?

Dec 26, 6:00 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

18%chance

8121782

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

839

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2070?

Dec 17, 11:18 AMMar 3, 10:59 PM

11.15%chance

6518129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

952

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2030?

Dec 22, 2:21 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

1%chance

5515121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4270

898

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2090?

Dec 19, 1:05 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

18%chance

5010653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

854

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2080?

Dec 18, 12:31 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

11%chance

4810172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

935

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2040?

Dec 21, 3:04 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

3%chance

479134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1725

938

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2110?

Dec 29, 12:05 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20%chance

248933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

141

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2050?

Dec 20, 11:09 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

8%chance

397133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

836

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2060?

Dec 15, 9:37 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.03%chance

496365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

965

911

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62%chance

12753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

783

Conditional on AGI being developed before 2029, will there be a dyson sphere around the Sun before 2030?

Jun 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.47%chance

11665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

380

26

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