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Prediction markets for Structured Outputs

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2100?

Dec 26, 6:00 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

19%chance

8221812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

793

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2070?

Dec 17, 11:18 AMMar 3, 10:59 PM

11.36%chance

6518150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

955

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2080?

Dec 18, 12:31 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

14.13%chance

5010931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

975

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2090?

Dec 19, 1:05 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

19.53%chance

5110766

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

785

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2050?

Dec 20, 11:09 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

9.29%chance

397251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

718

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2060?

Dec 15, 9:37 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.03%chance

496365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

965

911

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

84871

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

13

13

12

9

8

7

7

5

5

5

5

5

4

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.94%chance

321986

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1679

610

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.09%chance

141245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Will JerryRigEveryting be able to bend the iPhone Duo in half with his bare hands?

Sep 20, 5:31 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

61.5%chance

7441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1264

791

Will @mayaofspring pass JLPT N1 in December 2026?

May 17, 1:01 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

61.77%chance

3324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1271

787

Connectome of jumping spider or a Portia spider by 2031

May 12, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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