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Prediction markets for Student

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Jun 1, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.01%chance

9275757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75845

45839

Will Princeton international students lose legal status before 2027 (as is seemingly happening at Harvard)?

May 23, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.51%chance

189152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17089

5852

Will any top 10 university admit significantly more Asian students in the next 5 years?

Jun 29, 11:03 PMDec 30, 5:59 AM

96.34%chance

385385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4421

659

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

May 22, 9:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

57.02%chance

202185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

868

Will high-school or college students in 2040 be able to tell time on an analog clock?

Nov 28, 9:30 PMMay 13, 10:59 PM

88.52%chance

111960

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

957

Will an AI Tutor (LLM personalized for each student) replace conventional teaching by 2035?

Mar 11, 10:02 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

66.52%chance

201440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1527

526

Will Brigham Young University allow students to wear beards by 2030

Oct 16, 12:52 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

38.25%chance

241132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1391

629

Is Candace Owens lying about her student loans being over 6 figures and/or misrepresenting her family financial history?

Mar 10, 6:24 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

90.51%chance

14496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1380

901

Will ISAs (income share agreements) overtake "traditional" student loans by 2030?

Aug 24, 4:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.62%chance

13473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1310

944

Will the US government announce a new student debt forgiveness program by 2028?

Dec 26, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.07%chance

15385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

986

Will "Survey: How Do Elite Chinese Students Feel Ab..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 4, 4:19 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.18%chance

1250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

965

Will AI safety and regulation be mandatory training courses for students working with AI by the year 2035 under Federal Law?

Dec 10, 5:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.19%chance

12226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

943

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