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Top stories

Comey Calls Taylor Swift Inspiration, Says Music Helps Him Cope With Trump

Comey Calls Taylor Swift Inspiration, Says Music Helps Him Cope With Trump

Authors

38

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Substack

Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?

Mar 13, 4:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

95.89%chance

1627195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4830

207

Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?

Nov 20, 4:11 PMDec 31, 3:00 PM

11.6%chance

217378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2735

320

By 2026 will Substack generally be viewed in a similar way to medium.com

Jan 13, 9:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.75%chance

91122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2082

480

Will Matt Levine have a Substack by EOY 2026?

Jan 10, 4:49 AMJan 17, 4:47 AM

26.3%chance

151119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1674

597

Will Substack have a $10B valuation by June 7, 2032?

Jun 7, 9:31 PMJun 7, 11:59 PM

24.99%chance

8914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1746

586

Will Aella reference Impro in her latest Substack article series on status?

Jul 3, 4:41 AMDec 31, 5:40 AM

30.56%chance

6633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1507

663

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Dec 22, 9:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.79%chance

12392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

737

In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?

Feb 3, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.56%chance

12389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

938

@bens' Substack "The B.S. Detector" renamed "The Bullshit Detector" by 2030?

Jul 8, 5:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.56%chance

5249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

327

31

Will I cross 100 subscribers on Substack in 2025?

Jul 26, 6:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

5198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

Will my substack reach 100 subscribers by the end of 2025?

Jul 5, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.78%chance

6145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

45

Will Substack be bought by another company or cease operating by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 5:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.18%chance

381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

145

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