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Prediction markets for Substack
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
Mar 13, 4:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
94.9%chance
1626673
OptionVotes
4312
232
Flip Incoming (incoming.substack.com) has the most subscribers among prediction market Substacks by September 30, 2025?
May 23, 6:24 PMSep 30, 6:22 PM
16.49%chance
91869
OptionVotes
2250
444
Will Stacey Patton write a Substack addressing allegations that she writes her articles with AI by end of September?
Jul 12, 7:03 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
24.73%chance
81459
OptionVotes
1745
573
Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?
Nov 20, 4:11 PMDec 31, 3:00 PM
30.89%chance
171178
OptionVotes
1535
611
OptionVotes
1674
597
OptionVotes
1835
557
OptionVotes
1413
708
My Substack post exceeds 200 readers before August 19th, 2025?
Aug 12, 7:14 AMAug 18, 11:59 PM
33.78%chance
3422
OptionVotes
1400
714
OptionVotes
1211
737
In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?
Feb 3, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
86.56%chance
12389
OptionVotes
1202
938
By 2026 will Substack generally be viewed in a similar way to medium.com
Jan 13, 9:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
37.83%chance
7322
OptionVotes
1282
780
Will Aella reference Impro in her latest Substack article series on status?
Jul 3, 4:41 AMDec 31, 5:40 AM
52.18%chance
483
OptionVotes
1045
957