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Top stories

Comey Calls Taylor Swift Inspiration, Says Music Helps Him Cope With Trump

Comey Calls Taylor Swift Inspiration, Says Music Helps Him Cope With Trump

Authors

38

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Substack

Will I publish 30 substacks in 2026?

Dec 20, 9:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75%chance

3320556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

58

Will Matt Levine have a Substack by EOY 2026?

Jan 10, 4:49 AMJan 17, 4:47 AM

9.86%chance

162469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3024

331

Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?

May 2, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.46%chance

41363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2331

429

Will Substack implement an automatic AI-generated-content filter by EoY 2026?

Aug 2, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.07%chance

81347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

640

Will Substack have a $10B valuation by June 7, 2032?

Jun 7, 9:31 PMJun 7, 11:59 PM

24.99%chance

8914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1746

586

Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025 (58)?

Jan 10, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.75%chance

9636

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1484

674

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Dec 22, 9:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48%chance

13407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

723

In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?

Feb 3, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.56%chance

12389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

938

Will Celeste from substack Celeste-land have worked at Anthropic by 1st Jan 2028

Feb 4, 7:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.12%chance

7256

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

51

@bens' Substack "The B.S. Detector" renamed "The Bullshit Detector" by 2030?

Jul 8, 5:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.56%chance

5249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

327

31

Will Substack IPO before the end of 2026?

May 3, 2:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.3%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

46

Will Substack's Community WeFunder Round Live Up To Its Valuation?

Apr 19, 12:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.73%chance

667

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

113

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