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Prediction markets for Subway

Will there be more than 20,000 Subway stores at the end of 2025?

May 1, 2:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.73%chance

233104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2998

767

Will another NYC subway station permanently close before July 1st 2027, which will be 10 years since the last closure?

Nov 29, 5:12 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

9.9%chance

141262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2154

782

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

May 25, 12:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.87%chance

8731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

39

[M$100 subsidy] Will the Staten Island Railway be connected to the rest of New York City's subway system before 2046?

Sep 28, 1:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.92%chance

5185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

352

153

Will NYC Subway ridership be 70% of pre-pandemic levels or higher at the end of 2025?

Jul 8, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.92%chance

6162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will NYC permanently close another subway station before Russia or Russia Olympic Committee is allowed to compete again?

Jan 25, 6:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.98%chance

6122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

100

43

Will the U5 subway be completed until end of 2026?

Nov 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.14%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

30

What year will the MTA's Second Avenue Subway Phase 2 open?

May 7, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1100

OptionProbability

Other

2032

2031

2030

70

16

10

5

Will the NYC subway still report an On-time Performance of >=85% at the end of 2025? (overall 12-month average)

Dec 2, 5:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will NYC permanently close another subway station before Nintendo ends online support for the Switch?

Jan 25, 6:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

51%chance

1047

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

997

Will a major nation-wide sandwich chain (Quiznos, subway, etc) have a keto-friendly [carbs < 15g] sandwich by EOY 2025

Dec 18, 4:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.27%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

76

65

Will Porter Square subway station in Boston install an air purifier to clean up its horrible air pollution by 2026?

Sep 11, 5:17 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.22%chance

311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

81

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